Sunday, February 27, 2022

CRNW Forecast and Report of Sun, 2022-0227 pm

In solidarity to our friends in Ukraine we stand, hand in hand, and honor your colors!

In the realm of the surf forecast my Ukranian-colored paipo board may possibly be back in play. This most recent indicators forecast is much more to my liking than what we had been observing throughout Jan and Feb.

Indeed, the next couple days are very small. Dismal is a more accurate characterization. But in the cycle of swells having a few off days in not usual--that is why we take trips for 10-16 days.

The first positive indicator I see is the stronger shifting to more southerly swells. There are still a number of dominant swells in the upper-teens but increasing emphasis in the lower-teens, single digits and 80/90s (SW, SSW, S, respectively). These are our desired swell windows.

Another good indicator are the longer swell periodicities... 14, 15, 16, 17 secs. Now, what really blows my mind is that I briefly popped into to see the forecast this morning and it was a foot or so larger (4-4 ft or 4-5 ft) during March and many of the periodicities dropped off a second or two. This is an interesting phenomena in this forecast service!

Winds/weather: 

Costa Rica: Steady NE winds for the northernmost spots, persist all day. The rest of North CR sees light+/moderate offshores for the first part of the mornings, shifting to mainly moderate SSW-SW-W winds later morning through the afternoon, then looking to ease later afternoon/evening. Central and southern CR will mostly see a continued diurnal wind pattern with light/variable to very light offshore flow in the early mornings trending to light+/locally more onshores in the afternoons, looking strongest in southern regions.

Long Term Forecast Analysis (Monday,  February 28th and Beyond)

SPAC Overview:

Next week starts off small as a SSW pulse fades to waist high or under at most spots from Monday afternoon through Tuesday. By mid week, a new round of modest scale SW swell moves in with waist-stomach+ high waves at good exposures on Wednesday/Thursday, 2nd-3rd. Bit more size due off another SSW swell which beings filling in on Friday, then peaks over the weekend, 5th-6th, for waist-chest high surf.

Further out, smaller pulses of SSW swell scheduled for most of the following week, then there is potential for a stronger, longer-period SSW swell during the 11th-13th time frame. We’ll keep you posted on those Southern Hemis as they develop and head our way.


 

Friday, February 18, 2022

CRNW Forecast and Report of Fri, 2022-0218 am

The out days of the long-range forecast are an improvement. Is it a trend? Is it a passing blip? Time will tell. Bring plenty of books but be hopeful they won't be needed. Not much to say in the experts' written long-range forecast analysis. 



Tuesday, February 15, 2022

CRNW Forecast and Report of Tue, 2022-0215 am

 There appears to be more 3-4 ft surf in the 2-week forecast in today's outlook. I am also looking for more SW to S swell. At least it is appearing to be moving to that place.