Monday, March 2, 2015

CRNW Forecast of Mon, 2015-0302pm

Some conflict in the two forecasts below. Which one will be correct??

  Model Cycle: 2015 MAR 02 18Z         
  Time Zone: GMT - 7 hours             
-------------------------------------------------------------
             SURF    SURF DIR   SEAS  PERIOD   WIND    WND/DIR
             (ft)       (deg)   (ft)   (sec)   (kts)     (deg)
            -------  --------  -----  ------  -------  -------
3/2   11am   6 - 12   SW 223    5.2    19.6   15 - 20  ENE  52
3/2    5pm   6 - 12   SW 221    5.5    18.9   18 - 24  ENE  61

3/3    5am   6 - 13   SW 220    6.3    17.6   17 - 23  ENE  63
3/3   11am   5 - 11   SW 219    5.8    16.8   11 - 14  ENE  71
3/3    5pm   5 - 10   SW 219    5.4    16.4    9 - 12  ENE  70

3/4    5am   5 - 10   SW 219    5.6    15.6   14 - 20  ENE  64
3/4   11am   4 -  9   SW 218    5.0    15.4    4 -  5  ENE  52
3/4    5pm   4 -  8   SW 217    4.6    15.2    4 -  6  SSE 152

3/5    5am   3 -  7   SW 219    4.4    14.4   10 - 14  ENE  59
3/5   11am   3 -  6   SW 217    4.0    14.3    4 -  5  NNW 348
3/5    5pm   3 -  6   SW 220    4.0    13.8    3 -  5    E  97

3/6    5am   4 -  8   SW 218    5.0    13.4   17 - 23  ENE  56
3/6   11am   3 -  7   SW 215    4.7    13.2   11 - 15  ENE  58
3/6    5pm   3 -  7   SW 220    4.9    12.7   11 - 15  ENE  65

3/7    5am   5 - 11  SSW 202    5.9    15.7   18 - 24  ENE  60 SAT
3/7   11am   4 -  9  SSW 202    5.3    15.5   11 - 15  ENE  60
3/7    5pm   4 -  8  SSW 199    4.6    15.2    8 - 11  ENE  78

3/8    6am   4 -  9  SSW 199    5.8    14.4   18 - 24  ENE  53 SUN
3/8   12pm   4 -  8  SSW 197    5.0    14.3   10 - 14   NE  46
3/8    6pm   3 -  7  SSW 197    4.6    13.8   12 - 17  ENE  68

3/9   12am   4 -  8  SSW 196    5.3    13.5   16 - 22  ENE  57 MON
3/9    6am   4 -  8  SSW 196    5.3    13.3   15 - 21   NE  49
3/9   12pm   2 -  5  ESE 115    4.9     8.8    9 - 12   NE  45 ???



Effective Monday afternoon of March 2nd, 2015

SHORT TERM FORECAST (through Friday, March 6th):
Highlights: Solid SSW swell.

South Pacific Swell: A good looking fetch was aimed towards Central America last week. Healthy, long-period SSW (220-205) Southern Hemi swell generated by that system starts to fill in late today, steadily building Tuesday with head high+ to well overhead surf picking up through the day.

This swell then tops out on Wednesday with consistent overhead waves at lots of exposed spots and double overhead+ sets for standouts. This surf then gradually eases through the second half of the week but Thurs/Fri still offer fun size chest-head high+ sets.

EXTENDED FORECAST (Saturday, March 7th, and beyond):
Highlights: More Southern hemi swell through mid-month.

South Pacific Swell: Fresh, moderate scale SSW swell (220-200) is then scheduled to roll in for the 7th-10th but that looks much smaller overall with waist-shoulder zone waves mostly. Standouts may see some head high sets roll in at times.

Beyond that, longer range models/charts show potential for another decent sized, but more southerly, S-SSW swell (210-190) around the 11th-14th time frame. Still pending development, so stay tuned.

WOW. Did this early swell ever fall of the charts?!

DAMN. We will be drinking a lot of beer through Monday, 3/9/15.
 
WARNING. They had better improve on these longer range forecasts... this ain't the East Coast of the USA!!

Read the figure below for insights!


CRNW Forecast of Mon, 2015-0302am

Wow! Our initial days are finally showing up in the Buoyweather forecasts :) With surf!

  Model Cycle: 2015 MAR 02 06Z         
  Time Zone: GMT - 6 hours             
-------------------------------------------------------------
             SURF    SURF DIR   SEAS  PERIOD   WIND    WND/DIR
             (ft)       (deg)   (ft)   (sec)   (kts)     (deg)
            -------  --------  -----  ------  -------  -------
3/2    6am   2 -  4   NE  43    6.2     5.8   20 - 28  ENE  51
3/2   12pm   6 - 13   SW 217    5.7    19.2   17 - 23  ENE  50
3/2    6pm   5 - 11   SW 215    5.1    18.9   16 - 22  ENE  62

3/3    6am   6 - 13   SW 216    6.3    17.5   20 - 27  ENE  59
3/3   12pm   5 - 10   SW 217    5.3    16.7    7 -  9  ESE 120
3/3    6pm   4 -  9   SW 216    4.9    16.4    6 -  9   SW 223

3/4    6am   5 - 10   SW 217    5.5    15.6   15 - 21  ENE  59
3/4   12pm   4 -  8   SW 217    4.7    15.4    4 -  6    S 185
3/4    6pm   4 -  8   SW 216    4.5    15.2   10 - 14   SW 217

3/5    6am   3 -  7   SW 218    4.2    14.4   12 - 16  ENE  54
3/5   12pm   3 -  6   SW 217    3.9    14.3    3 -  4  WSW 238
3/5    6pm   3 -  6   SW 221    3.9    13.7    6 -  8  SSW 192

3/6    6am   4 -  8   SW 218    5.0    13.4   16 - 22  ENE  55
3/6   12pm   3 -  6   SW 215    4.2    13.2    5 -  7  ENE  79
3/6    6pm   3 -  6   SW 220    4.4    12.7   14 - 19  ENE  56

3/7    6am   5 - 11  SSW 199    6.2    15.7   20 - 28  ENE  52 SAT
3/7   12pm   4 -  9  SSW 199    5.2    15.5   11 - 15  ENE  52
3/7    6pm   4 -  8  SSW 196    4.5    15.2   12 - 16  ENE  60

3/8    7am   5 - 10  SSW 197    6.1    14.4   19 - 25  ENE  52 SUN
3/8    1pm   4 -  8  SSW 196    5.2    14.3    9 - 13  ENE  58
3/8    7pm   3 -  7  SSW 196    4.3    13.7    6 -  8  ENE  75

3/9    1am   4 -  9  SSW 196    5.6    13.5   18 - 25  ENE  59 MON