Saturday, March 5, 2022

CRNW Forecast and Report of Sat, 2022-0305 pm

Forecast is coming into shape and the shape is good. Look at the whopping forecast for Sunday, March 20, 2022, coming in 4.3 ft @20 sec. Holy Nelly! That will certainly change a little. But if it were to hold up we would be looking at 6-10 ft.


 




















Some Granularity on 3/20/22
Whoops, SnL already changed their data downward, but still very good.


Here is some forecasting from a site David recently stumbled upon.









Winds/weather: 

Costa Rica: Steady NE winds for the northernmost spots, persist all day. The rest of North CR sees light+/moderate offshores for the first part of the mornings, shifting to mainly moderate SSW-SW-W winds later morning through the afternoon, then looking to ease later afternoon/evening. 

Long Term Forecast Analysis (Monday,  March 7th and Beyond)

SPAC Overview:

Overall a slightly slower version of the weekend Monday and early Tuesday.  A small but playful mix of left over S-SSW swell should kick next week off as the weekend swell eases.  Exposed breaks will continue to see knee to chest high surf, with lully set waves at better exposures and magnets.

We’ve got a couple new pulses expected to help bolster the surf again.  A mix of longer-period S-SSW swell moves in Tuesday and Wednesday.  This pulse could top out with around 3 feet of deepwater swell mid to late Wednesday the 9th holding size Thursday the 10th and lingering into Friday the 11th.  Wave heights are expected to build into the waist to chest high+ range, with standouts/deepwater spots seeing sets going potentially head high-overhead during the peak.

Further out, the models are showing a small to moderate system east of New Zealand kicking up some better angled SSW that could start arriving next weekend (the 12th-13th).  It does look like the storm activity in that area has been getting the downgrade over the past couple days, so although we’re seeing more activity, it’s hard to say if it will result in any notable swells much further out.  Likely we’re going to see wave heights move back up a notch, with more waist to chest high+ surf by the end of next weekend, with potential for reinforcing energy to help maintain at least waist to chest high+ surf at SSW exposures through mid month.  Stay tuned for updates.

























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