Thursday, September 5, 2013

OBX Forecast of Thu, 2013-0905am

Just moments ago the Cape Verde tropical wave appeared on my display... now we have a traditional conga line albeit with only one storm at the TD level or higher.
 

In keeping with GP/p tradition it appears we will have another year with tropical storm swell, our lady this year being TS Gabrielle. Just 12 hours ago she was forecast not to develop beyond being a tropical depression. The previous week she had been a mere low level "area of interest." Although we should not expect any epic overhead surf we shall have surf. Pray for good winds!

























Two models forecast Gabrielle to maintain a northerly/NNW track which would be welcome for our swellage outcomes. The GFS model reminds me of a swell some 5 or 6 years ago where the storm did figure eights in the "gulf of South Carolina" for 3 days or so. Quite the swell generator for an entire week. One can only be hopeful.

























In the meantime we will count our blessings that we won't be faced with this (wave cam pic of The Lighthouse this morning).

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