Tuesday, September 3, 2013

OBX Forecast of Tue, 2013-0903pm

Wave outlook improves... caveat emptor: it is still an East Coast long-range forecast!











In the news
 
The outlook for next Tuesday/Wednesday and the back half of next week is of lower confidence than normal as the latest computer model guidance suggests the tropical disturbance in the eastern Caribbean Sea and a passing frontal boundary will help provide an increase of windswell/swell for the region. We will take a conservative approach this far out and so we are expecting a modest increase in local windswell and SE swell mix for Tuesday/Wednesday and into the second half of next week. Stay tuned as we closely monitor this over the next several days.

TROPICS

We are watching an area of low pressure is located in the eastern Caribbean Sea this afternoon that is tracking slowly towards the WNW. We will continue to monitor this feature as it moves near the Greater Antilles over the coming days then tracks near the Turks and Caicos Islands late in the week/over the weekend.

Elsewhere, we are watching a tropical wave near the Yucatan Peninsula that is expected to move into the Bay of Campeche during the middle part of the week. This system will not impact our surf outlook.

Finally, a disorganized tropical wave has pushed off the West African coastline. We will have several days to track this system as it moves NW/WNW past the Cape Verde Islands.

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