Saturday, March 5, 2016

CRNW Forecast of 2016-0305a Sat (The Day Before..)

Check-in went very smoothly - nice young counter gal :) No Pre-Check with SWA Int'l flights, but it went smoothly for me. Been up since 3am (excitement!?) so kind of spacey at the gate area for me.

Looking forward to getting wet!!


  Model Cycle: 2016 MAR 05 06Z          
  Time Zone: GMT - 6 hours              
-------------------------------------------------------------
             SURF    SURF DIR   SEAS  PERIOD   WIND    WND/DIR
             (ft)       (deg)   (ft)   (sec)   (kts)     (deg)
            -------  --------  -----  ------  -------  -------

3/5    6am   3 -  6   SW 219    3.7    14.1   12 - 16   NE  37
3/5   12pm   3 -  6   SW 218    3.8    13.7    4 -  6  SSW 197
3/5    6pm   3 -  7   SW 219    3.7    16.6    7 - 10  SSW 193
 
3/6    6am   3 -  6   SW 219    3.5    15.7    9 - 13   NE  31
3/6   12pm   3 -  6   SW 219    3.8    15.4    8 - 11  WNW 304
3/6    6pm   3 -  7   SW 219    4.2    15.2    9 - 12   SW 222
 
3/7    6am   4 -  8   SW 218    4.1    16.6    6 -  9   NE  44
3/7   12pm   4 -  8   SW 219    4.2    16.2    6 -  9  WSW 257
3/7    6pm   3 -  7   SW 217    4.2    15.4    2 -  3  SSW 209
 
3/8    6am   3 -  7   SW 218    4.2    14.8    7 - 10   NE  44
3/8   12pm   4 -  8  WSW 250    4.2    16.4    9 - 12  WNW 290
3/8    6pm   4 -  8  WSW 243    4.5    16.3   12 - 16   SW 223
 
3/9    6am   3 -  7  WSW 246    4.1    15.4    8 - 10   NE  46
3/9   12pm   3 -  7  WSW 238    4.1    15.3    7 -  9   SW 225
3/9    6pm   4 -  9   SW 221    4.0    18.6    5 -  8  WSW 237
 
3/10   6am   4 -  8   SW 220    4.0    17.6    6 -  8  NNE  26
3/10  12pm   4 -  8   SW 220    4.0    16.8    9 - 12  WNW 290
3/10   6pm   4 -  8   SW 220    4.1    16.5    6 -  9  WSW 256
 
3/11   6am   3 -  7   SW 219    3.7    15.6    4 -  6  NNE  13
3/11  12pm   3 -  6   SW 219    3.6    15.4    9 - 12    W 266
3/11   6pm   3 -  6   SW 219    3.7    15.3    8 - 11  WSW 257
 
3/12  12am   3 -  6   SW 219    3.4    15.1    2 -  3    W 260
 

Effective Friday evening

SHORT TERM FORECAST (through Monday, March 7th)

Highlights: Fun Southern Hemi through the weekend, as old NW swell winds down at exposures. More SSW swell moves in next week, along with NW swell for those exposed spots.

South Pacific Swell: SW(220-210) swell holds on Saturday for waist-shoulder high waves at the better 
spots and some plus sets to head high at standouts. That surf gradually eases Sunday as a new SSW swell 
starts to show. The fresh Southern Hemi sets up shoulder-head high+ surf at well exposed breaks on 
Monday, while standouts get better sets. 

North Pacific Swell: Old NW swell (300-320) swell eases into the weekend for mostly waist+ leftovers 
at the better breaks of North CR on Saturday then smaller waves Sunday. Note, other areas see an even 
smaller share of this NW swell for weaker waves. Next Monday stays down.

Wind/Weather: Diurnal wind pattern for most Costa Rica; light to locally moderate offshore wind in the 
early to mid mornings (depending on location; strongest for Northern C.R., before a light to moderate 
onshore sea-breeze gradually develops over the late morning/afternoons (a little stronger for some 
areas, lighter for others).

Most of the region will see mainly sunny to partly cloudy skies each day, with isolated showers/
thunderstorms still possible. Keep in mind that passing or nearby showers and thunderstorms can 
temporarily affect/change local wind conditions.

EXTENDED FORECAST (Tuesday, March 8th, and beyond)

Highlights: More Southern Hemi and NW swell moves in next week.

South Pacific Swell: Good run of SW to SSW swell sets up head+ high surf with better sets at well exposed
breaks on Tuesday. Those waves then ease a little by midweek. Stronger SSW Southern Hemi rolls in next 
Thursday then peaks Friday/Saturday, 11th-12th, with head+ to overhead surf at the better breaks. 
Those waves ease over the following weekend. Potential for a better SSW Southern Hemi for much of the 
following week, looking best 15th-17th. We'll keep you posted on the progress of that one. 

North Pacific Swell: New, long-period NW (300-310) swell peaks Tuesday/Wednesday, 8th-9th,with 
head high+ high waves and better sets at best exposures, (North CR). Other areas see a smaller share of 
the NW swell then. Similar size new NW swell expected to move in next Friday/Saturday, 11th-12th. 
We'll keep you posted on that storm/swell system as it develops.  
 
 
 
 

 
 
 

SolSpot  (Friday) 3.4.16 

Building SSW-SW swell mix over the weekend with a little NW combo too

Central America and Mainland Mexico Short-Range Surf Forecast

SSW-SW (205-220) peaks today and will be overlapped by a couple better SSW-SW (200-220) pulses due this weekend and early next week.  Looks like a bit more NW (300+) energy due early next week as well.  As that swell mix eases mid-next week another solid SW (210-220) arrives and will peak Thursday.  More SSW-SW on the way after that.  Read more for details.

http://solspot.com/buoy/costa-rica-west/forecast
The current SSW-SW (205-220) is bringing waist to head high surf to the exposed coast today with a few select spots and top exposures seeing some bigger set waves going head high-overhead+.  As the new pulses of SSW-SW (200-220) arrive over the weekend wave heights are expected to build into the chest to overhead+ range for the exposed coast, with standouts seeing set waves around a couple feet overhead to several feet overhead.

There will also be a long-period NW (300+) swell will be working its way down the coast through the weekend as well adding an additional 3-4 feet of deepwater swell.  Peak days of the WNW are expected to be Sunday and Monday for Mainland Mexico, with Central America following on Tuesday.  Wave heights will range in size quite a bit for that one, with standouts farther north seeing overhead to double overhead surf, and closer to waist to head high+ for standouts in Central America.

The next decent pulse of SW (210-220) is already on its way.  A storm SE of New Zealand a couple days ago generated 30-35 foot seas with a good NE trajectory for Central America and Mainland Mex.  This one will start to arrive with 19 to 20 second forerunners on the 9th building to a peak on Thursday the 10th with around 3-5 feet of deepwater swell.  That should mean another run of chest to overhead+ surf, with standouts going a couple feet overhead to several feet overhead.

Tropical Outlook

Tropical season is officially over until May 15th.

Costa Rica | Nicaragua | El Salvador | Southern Mexico

Long-Range Surf forecast Central America and Mainland Mexico

North Pacific Swell Forecast

The North Pacific isn’t showing anything too promising right now.

South Pacific Swell Forecast

The South Pacific models continue to show more promising swell makers as we start to work closer to the Northern Hemisphere spring.

A system emerging out from under New Zealand over the weekend will strengthn as it works its way into the South Pacific early next week.  There have been some pretty dramatic changes to the strength and track of this system over the past couple of days so there isn’t a lot of confidence in it as of right now, but it could end up developing into swell maker with 35+ foot seas SSW of Tahiti on Monday, sending more SSW-SW (205-220) towards the region for around the 13th/14th.  Based on the current models its looking similar in size to the one we’re expecting next week, but it’s still could a few days before things are ironed out.  Stay tuned for updates early next week.
 
 

Friday, March 4, 2016

CRNW Forecast of 2016-0304a Fri (The Day Before..)

'Twas the night before Rock Cove...


 Model Cycle: 2016 MAR 04 06Z          
  Time Zone: GMT - 6 hours              
-------------------------------------------------------------
             SURF    SURF DIR   SEAS  PERIOD   WIND    WND/DIR
             (ft)       (deg)   (ft)   (sec)   (kts)     (deg)
            -------  --------  -----  ------  -------  -------
3/4    6am   3 -  6   SW 228    3.8    14.7   12 - 16   NE  46
3/4   12pm   3 -  6   SW 213    3.8    15.1    5 -  7    W 260
3/4    6pm   3 -  6   SW 218    3.9    14.2   10 - 14    S 180
 
3/5    6am   2 -  5   SW 219    3.5    14.1   10 - 13  NNE  26
3/5   12pm   3 -  6   SW 219    3.7    13.7    5 -  7  WNW 287
3/5    6pm   3 -  7   SW 219    3.8    16.6    7 - 10  SSW 190
 
3/6    6am   3 -  6   SW 219    3.6    15.7    9 - 12  NNE  26
3/6   12pm   3 -  6   SW 219    3.8    15.4    7 - 10  WNW 286
3/6    6pm   3 -  7   SW 219    4.1    15.2    8 - 11  SSW 203
 
3/7    6am   4 -  8   SW 218    4.1    16.6    7 -  9   NE  37
3/7   12pm   4 -  8   SW 219    4.2    16.2    8 - 11    W 272
3/7    6pm   3 -  7   SW 217    4.3    15.4    4 -  6  WSW 231
 
3/8    6am   3 -  7   SW 218    4.2    14.8    7 - 10   NE  39
3/8   12pm   4 -  8  WSW 250    4.2    16.4    8 - 11    W 270
3/8    6pm   4 -  8  WSW 243    4.2    16.3    4 -  6   SW 227
 
3/9    6am   3 -  7  WSW 246    4.0    15.4    8 - 11   NE  40
3/9   12pm   3 -  7  WSW 238    4.0    15.3    7 - 10    W 276
3/9    6pm   4 -  8   SW 221    4.0    18.6    5 -  6  WSW 253
 
3/10   6am   4 -  8   SW 220    4.0    17.6    6 -  8  NNE  20
3/10  12pm   4 -  8   SW 220    4.0    16.8    8 - 11  WNW 283
3/10   6pm   4 -  8   SW 220    4.1    16.5    5 -  7  WSW 254
 
3/11  12am   3 -  7   SW 220    3.9    16.3    1 -  1  SSE 150