March 1st has a nice ring to it. Spring is closer and the surf trip is MUCH closer. Taking a break from other things meant much of my packing is down done... down to the last 15 percent to go. The model data below suggests we are rollling into a rather consistent pattern the first few days -- looks like a good one to me with 3.5 to 4.25 swell at 15-16 sec.
Model Cycle: 2016 MAR 01 06Z
Time Zone: GMT - 6 hours
-------------------------------------------------------------
SURF SURF DIR SEAS PERIOD WIND WND/DIR
(ft) (deg) (ft) (sec) (kts) (deg)
------- -------- ----- ------ ------- -------
3/1 6am 4 - 8 W 276 4.8 14.2 15 - 20 ENE 55
3/1 12pm 5 - 10 WNW 290 4.2 20.0 1 - 1 WSW 256
3/1 6pm 4 - 8 WNW 283 3.6 19.0 5 - 7 WSW 230
3/2 6am 4 - 8 SW 228 4.3 17.1 14 - 19 ENE 51
3/2 12pm 4 - 8 WSW 233 4.2 16.7 6 - 8 NW 315
3/2 6pm 3 - 7 SW 218 4.1 15.8 4 - 6 ENE 54
3/3 6am 4 - 9 WSW 234 4.9 15.3 16 - 22 NE 47
3/3 12pm 4 - 8 SW 223 4.6 14.8 5 - 7 N 356
3/3 6pm 3 - 7 SW 228 4.2 14.6 6 - 8 ESE 110
3/4 6am 3 - 7 SW 228 4.1 14.7 13 - 18 NE 45
3/4 12pm 3 - 7 SW 213 4.0 15.1 6 - 8 N 350
3/4 6pm 3 - 6 SW 217 4.0 14.2 6 - 8 ESE 112
3/5 6am 3 - 7 SW 219 4.2 14.1 13 - 18 ENE 50 SAT
3/5 12pm 3 - 6 SW 218 3.9 13.7 6 - 8 SW 220
3/5 6pm 3 - 7 SW 219 3.8 16.6 8 - 11 SSW 192
3/6 6am 3 - 6 SW 219 3.6 15.7 8 - 11 NE 41 SUN
3/6 12pm 3 - 6 SW 219 3.7 15.4 7 - 9 W 276
3/6 6pm 3 - 7 SW 219 3.9 15.2 8 - 11 SW 211
3/7 6am 4 - 8 SW 218 4.1 16.6 7 - 10 ENE 50 MON
3/7 12pm 4 - 8 SW 219 4.2 16.2 7 - 9 W 267
3/7 6pm 3 - 7 SW 217 4.3 15.4 1 - 1 SSW 199
3/8 12am 3 - 7 SW 220 4.3 15.3 4 - 6 SE 143 TUE
Effective Monday evening
SHORT TERM FORECAST (through Wednesday, March 2nd)
Highlights: NW swell peaks for well exposed spots during the first half of the week. Small SSW swell lingers
then.
South Pacific Swell: Old SSW swell (210-185) is mainly down in the knee-chest-shoulder high zone on
Tuesday and Wednesday, as top breaks see plus sets.
North Pacific Swell: Long period NW swell (300-320) swell fills in on Tuesday for shoulder-head high
waves and better sets at top NW exposures, showing largest in the late afternoon, (most size in North CR).
NW swell sets up more head waves and sets up to several feet overhead at standout wintertime breaks on
Wednesday. Note, other areas see a smaller share of this NW swell for smaller surf.
Note also that with the SSW swell running, a few of the beachbreaks open to both directions will see some
bowled up peaks.
Wind/Weather: Diurnal wind pattern for most Costa Rica; light to locally moderate offshore wind in the
early to mid mornings (depending on location; strongest for Northern C.R. where it will be quite breezy,
before a light to moderate onshore sea-breeze gradually develops over the late morning/afternoons (a
little stronger for some areas, lighter for others). Northernmost C.R. will see steady offshore winds persist
in the afternoons.
Most of the region will see mainly sunny to partly cloudy skies each day, with isolated showers/thunderstorms
still possible. Keep in mind that passing or nearby showers and thunderstorms can temporarily affect/change
local wind conditions.
EXTENDED FORECAST (Thursday, March 3rd, and beyond)
Highlights: NW swell eases during the second half of the week at well exposed breaks. More Southern
Hemi swell moves in then. More NW and SSW swell setting up for next week.
South Pacific Swell: Fun zone SW (220-210) swell from recent storm activity moving away from
New Zealand moves in on Thursday and continues into the weekend. That's good for waist-shoulder high
waves with a few plus sets to head high at standouts.
Beyond that, a better run of SW to SSW swell begins to show by the end of the weekend then steadily rising
through next Monday with head high to overhead surf at well exposed breaks. Those waves hold on
Tuesday. Similar size to slightly lager SSW Southern Hemi due to join in on Wednesday then peak by the
second half of next week, 10th-11th, before easing into the following weekend. Stay tuned for updates as
we track these swells as they head our way.
North Pacific Swell: NW(300-320) swell slowly easing at well exposed spots going into the second half
of the week, is still good for head+ waves on Thursday. That surf then continues to wind down going into the
weekend.
Further out, continued storm action in the NPAC looks good for another shot of NW swell at well exposed
spots from next Monday through Wednesday, 7th-9th. We'll keep you posted on that storm/swell system
as it develops.
No comments:
Post a Comment