Thursday, February 23, 2017

CRNW 2017-0223p Forecast

Well... the 3-6 ft. didn't hold up for very long. This time for some more cranking over the next 10 days. One can see that NorPac is still in the forecast cycle but the SouPac is beginning to garner greater attention.

  Model Cycle: 2017 FEB 23 06Z   Thursday        
  Time Zone: GMT - 6 hours              
-------------------------------------------------------------
             SURF    SURF DIR   SEAS  PERIOD   WIND    WND/DIR
             (ft)       (deg)   (ft)   (sec)   (kts)     (deg)
            -------  --------  -----  ------  -------  -------
2/23   6am   2 -  5  WSW 232    2.9    16.3    1 -  1   SE 140
2/23  12pm   2 -  5  WSW 234    3.0    15.8    5 -  7  WSW 257
2/23   6pm   3 -  6   SW 210    3.1    16.5    7 - 10  WSW 242
 
2/24   6am   2 -  5   SW 211    3.0    15.3    2 -  2  ENE  67
2/24  12pm   2 -  5  SSW 208    3.0    15.3    6 -  9  WSW 251
2/24   6pm   2 -  5   SW 214    3.0    14.3    8 - 10  WSW 259
 
2/25   6am   2 -  4  SSW 207    2.9    14.2    2 -  3  NNE  11
2/25  12pm   2 -  4   SW 214    2.9    13.7    6 -  9  WNW 293
2/25   6pm   2 -  4   SW 210    3.0    13.4    7 -  9  WNW 284
 
2/26   6am   2 -  5  WSW 235    3.0    16.1    6 -  9    N 358
2/26  12pm   2 -  5  WSW 231    3.1    15.4    9 - 12  WNW 304
2/26   6pm   2 -  5  WSW 234    3.3    14.6    4 -  5  WSW 252
 
2/27   6am   2 -  5  WSW 230    3.4    13.9   10 - 14  ENE  69
2/27  12pm   2 -  5   SW 225    3.4    13.6    1 -  1   SW 224
2/27   6pm   2 -  5   SW 222    3.4    13.4    7 - 10  SSW 199
 
2/28   6am   3 -  6   SW 220    4.1    12.7   13 - 17  ENE  61
2/28  12pm   2 -  5   SW 219    3.9    12.6    2 -  3  ESE 114
2/28   6pm   3 -  6   SW 216    3.5    15.5   10 - 13  SSW 200
 
3/1    6am   2 -  5   SW 213    3.2    14.7   10 - 14   NE  49
3/1   12pm   2 -  5   SW 215    3.4    14.6    4 -  6  NNE  22
3/1    6pm   2 -  5   SW 215    3.3    14.4    8 - 11    S 170
 
3/2   12am   2 -  5   SW 212    3.3    14.0   11 - 15  ENE  58
 
 
Effective Wednesday afternoon 

FORECAST HIGHLIGHTS  
  • Modest to fun new SSW late week
  • Fun NW swell through Fri (at exposures)
  • More fun+ SSW late Feb-early March 
SHORT TERM FORECAST: (through Saturday, February 25th)                        

South Pacific: Modest to fun-zone new SSW swell (210-195) will be creeping up through the day on Thursday. Better breaks are in the knee-waist-chest high range, as areas that can really harness the longer period energy offer some chest/shoulder high+ sets over the afternoon. The bulk of the swell shows Fri-Sun with waist-chest high surf at good breaks as focal points get into the shoulder-head high range.

North Pacific: NW swell is holding for exposures on Thursday. We expect continued thigh-waist-chest high surf at well exposed breaks of North CR, while standouts see sets up to shoulder high+. Size holds Friday morning, coming down a couple notches by that afternoon. Look for those waves to trend down into the weekend.

Wind/Weather: A weak diurnal pattern prevails across Costa Rica through the end of the week. Mornings will start with light/variable to light offshore flow, winds trending onshore by the middle of each day before a light to moderate onshore sea-breeze develops in the afternoons.

EXTENDED FORECAST: (Sunday, February 26th, and beyond)   
       
South Pacific: SSW swell (210-195) nudges up a bit further for Mon/Tue of next week thanks to a stronger fetch over the Central SPAC last weekend. That sets up more waist-chest-shoulder high waves for exposed breaks as focal points offer a few more head high to slightly overhead peaks. Select magnets may go a bit larger at times. Surf slowly eases through the middle of the week.

Further out, an ongoing low over a similar part of the Central SPAC looks poised to deliver a slightly larger SSW swell through the first few days in March. The call for chest-shoulder-head high surf at exposed breaks remains on track, while good spots should push slightly overhead at times. Expected storm activity over the SPAC through the next week looks to send some similar-size SSW swells to round out the first 7-10+ days in March with fun surf. Stay tuned, we'll refine details over the next several days.

North Pacific: Another low latitude storm near Hawaii sends a smaller, but still rideable, NW swell for the 26-27th.

 



 

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