Saturday, February 25, 2017

CRNW 2017-0225 (Sat am) Forecast

The forecast is beginning to move towards one of my liking:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dd--tIkrVoA


Next we will work on increasing the swell periodicity!!! 

Week #1 should not have extreme (and minus) tides unlike more of that in Week #2, although those should not be excessive (less than -1 or more than 9.5).




  Model Cycle: 2017 FEB 25 06Z          
  Time Zone: GMT - 6 hours              
-------------------------------------------------------------
             SURF    SURF DIR   SEAS  PERIOD   WIND    WND/DIR
             (ft)       (deg)   (ft)   (sec)   (kts)     (deg)
            -------  --------  -----  ------  -------  -------
2/25   6am   2 -  4  SSW 207    2.9    14.2    3 -  4  NNE  28
2/25  12pm   2 -  4   SW 213    2.9    13.7    7 - 10   NW 310
2/25   6pm   2 -  5   SW 210    3.1    13.4    8 - 10  WNW 293
 
2/26   6am   3 -  6  WSW 235    3.1    16.1    8 - 11    N   4
2/26  12pm   2 -  5  WSW 231    3.1    15.4    8 - 11   NW 312
2/26   6pm   3 -  6  WSW 234    3.6    14.6    1 -  2  ENE  56
 
2/27   6am   3 -  6   SW 229    3.6    13.9   12 - 16  ENE  61
2/27  12pm   3 -  6   SW 224    3.8    13.6    4 -  5  ENE  60
2/27   6pm   3 -  6   SW 221    3.8    13.4    4 -  6  SSE 155
 
2/28   6am   3 -  6   SW 219    4.1    12.7   12 - 17  ENE  63
2/28  12pm   2 -  5   SW 218    3.8    12.6    1 -  2   NE  39
2/28   6pm   3 -  6   SW 216    3.4    15.5    8 - 11  SSW 195
 
3/1    6am   3 -  6   SW 213    3.6    14.7   12 - 16   NE  48
3/1   12pm   3 -  6   SW 215    3.8    14.6    5 -  7   NE  36
3/1    6pm   3 -  6   SW 215    3.6    14.4    7 -  9   SE 149
 
3/2    6am   3 -  6   SW 214    4.2    13.6   13 - 18  ENE  57
3/2   12pm   3 -  7   SW 214    4.0    14.8    4 -  6   NE  31
3/2    6pm   3 -  7   SW 216    3.8    15.6    6 -  8   SE 146
 
3/3    6am   4 -  8   SW 214    4.7    15.1   15 - 20   NE  49
3/3   12pm   3 -  7   SW 214    4.4    14.4   10 - 13   NE  45
3/3    6pm   3 -  7   SW 213    4.2    14.3    8 - 12    E  85 
 
Arrival Day 
3/4   12am   4 -  8   SW 214    5.0    14.1   17 - 24  ENE  54 
 
 

 
 
 

Effective 
    
    
        
    
    
    
    
        
Friday afternoon
        

FORECAST HIGHLIGHTS 
  • Modest/fun SSW swell Sat-Sun
  • Larger SSW swell Mon-Tue
  • More fun SSW through early March
SHORT TERM FORECAST: (through Sunday, February 26th)                        

South Pacific: Modest to fun-zone SSW swell (210-195) will fill in a bit more over the weekend. The better breaks see waist-chest high surf Sat-Sun, as standout spots hit shoulder high and a little better.

North Pacific: A small NW swell will fill in through Sunday before easing Monday. This should set up some rideable waves in the waist high range at the better exposed breaks in North CR, although most other breaks will be below that.

Wind/Weather: A diurnal pattern prevails across Costa Rica through most of the weekend. Mornings will start with light/variable to light offshore flow, winds trending onshore by the middle of each day before a light to moderate onshore sea-breeze develops in the afternoons. For northernmost CR, look for offshore flow to build late this weekend and especially early next week.

EXTENDED FORECAST: (Monday, February 27th, and beyond) 
      
South Pacific: Reinforcing SSW swell (210-195) will bump the surf up a bit more Mon/Tue, based on what we're seeing on the Chile Buoy today (and other data we were able to gather on the storm). That sets up more waist-shoulder high waves for exposed breaks, as focal points see sets to head high+ at times. The surf will then slowly ease through the middle of the week.

Going further out, it appears that will see a continuation of these fun size SSW swells for the first several days of March. This is thanks to consistent storm activity in the central South Pacific lately, which should persist for a few more days. We remain in lines to see a series of swells from the 3rd to the 8th that would produce surf in the chest-shoulder-head high range at the better breaks. Standout spots likely see some waves that will be a little better. Stay tuned, we'll refine details over the next several days.

North Pacific: Nothing of note currently on the medium or long range radar. 

 

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