PRNW Forecast of 2014-1222

Looks like Christmas Day will feature some peculiar swell inversions:



The long-range swell forecast looks rather pathetic (but this can easily change since Western Atlantic forecasting is highly unreliable more than a few days out!).


The north shores produce 3 ft. wind swell waves (and very crowded conditions).


Now... talk about weirdness:

Location : 18.5N  67.5W              
Model Cycle: 2014 DEC 22 12Z         
Time Zone: GMT - 5 hours             
-------------------------------------------------------------
             SURF    SURF DIR   SEAS  PERIOD   WIND    WND/DIR
             (ft)       (deg)   (ft)   (sec)   (kts)     (deg)
            -------  --------  -----  ------  -------  -------
12/22  7am   1 -  2  ENE  59    3.7     6.2    9 - 12    E  88
12/22  1pm   1 -  3   NE  33    3.3     9.4    5 -  7   NE  47

12/23  7am   1 -  2    E  90    3.5     6.7    9 - 12    E  85
12/23  1pm   1 -  2    E  99    3.6     7.0    7 - 10  ENE  76

12/24  7am   1 -  3  ENE  71    4.4     7.1   13 - 17    E  82
12/24  1pm   1 -  3  ENE  71    4.0     7.0    8 - 12  ENE  70

12/25  7am   1 -  3  ENE  61    4.2     6.3   13 - 18  ENE  69
12/25  1pm   1 -  3  ENE  61    4.1     6.2   13 - 18  ENE  60

12/26  7am   2 -  4   NE  43    4.2     8.6   12 - 17    E  81
12/26  1pm   1 -  3   NE  47    4.0     8.3    8 - 11  ENE  63
12/26  7pm   2 -  4  ENE  52    4.6     8.1   14 - 19  ENE  71

12/27  7am   4 -  8   NE  37    5.3    13.4   12 - 17  ENE  68
12/27  1pm   6 - 12   NE  41    6.2    16.2   12 - 16  ENE  57
12/27  7pm   6 - 12   NE  40    6.9    15.3   14 - 19  ENE  56

12/28  7am   5 - 11   NE  38    6.9    13.9   10 - 14  ENE  60
12/28  1pm   5 - 10   NE  38    6.5    13.5    9 - 12   NE  45
12/28  7pm   4 -  9   NE  37    6.0    13.5    9 - 12   NE  46

12/29  1am   4 -  9   NE  36    5.7    13.4   12 - 16  ENE  61
12/29  7am   5 - 10   NE  34    6.4    13.2   13 - 18  ENE  64

CRNW Forecast of Wed, 2014-0618

For some reason waking up, rolling out of bed and stumbling to the Viewing Station with fresh cooked espresso-style coffee just ain't the same. Images of swell rolling in around The Rock are still fresh but seem so long, long ago.

Terry, it looks like you have had a few small days. Maybe you and Mary ventured up to Turtleheads?

Today I finishing some unpacking from Costa Rica and pack-up for tomorrow's trip to the PNW. About 25F cooler out there!

  Model Cycle: 2014 JUN 18 06Z         
  Time Zone: GMT - 6 hours             
-------------------------------------------------------------
             SURF    SURF DIR   SEAS  PERIOD   WIND    WND/DIR
             (ft)       (deg)   (ft)   (sec)   (kts)     (deg)
            -------  --------  -----  ------  -------  -------
6/18   6am   2 -  5  SSW 194    3.6    12.5    6 -  8  ENE  63
6/18  12pm   2 -  5  SSW 199    3.5    12.3    0 -  0    S 181
6/18   6pm   2 -  4  SSW 193    3.3    11.9    6 -  8   SW 216

6/19   6am   3 -  6   SW 213    3.1    16.4    4 -  6  ENE  65
6/19  12pm   2 -  5   SW 214    3.2    15.6    2 -  2    W 271
6/19   6pm   2 -  5   SW 212    3.2    15.5    5 -  6    W 266

6/20   6am   3 -  6   SW 211    3.4    14.9    7 -  9  ENE  60
6/20  12pm   3 -  6  SSW 210    3.4    14.7    1 -  2  SSW 197
6/20   6pm   3 -  6  SSW 207    3.4    14.8    4 -  5   SW 225

6/21   6am   2 -  5  SSW 209    3.4    14.4    2 -  3   NE  33
6/21  12pm   2 -  5   SW 211    3.5    13.8    4 -  5  WSW 249
6/21   6pm   2 -  5   SW 212    3.7    13.6    6 -  8  WSW 238

6/22   6am   3 -  6  SSW 208    3.7    15.1    2 -  3    N   6
6/22  12pm   3 -  6  SSW 208    3.7    14.5    4 -  6  WSW 253
6/22   6pm   3 -  6  SSW 207    3.6    14.2    4 -  6  WSW 256

6/23   6am   2 -  5  SSW 205    3.3    13.5    1 -  1  NNE  21
6/23  12pm   2 -  5  SSW 204    3.2    13.4    2 -  2  WSW 250
6/23   6pm   2 -  4  SSW 205    3.1    12.9    5 -  6  WSW 242

6/24   6am   2 -  4  SSW 203    3.1    12.7    3 -  5    N 358
6/24  12pm   3 -  7  SSW 203    3.2    19.2    3 -  4  NNW 330
6/24   6pm   3 -  7  SSW 199    3.3    18.7    7 -  9  WSW 244

6/25  12am   3 -  7  SSW 204    3.5    17.9    4 -  5  WSW 252

Today's Surf Height 3-4ft @ 4ft at 12s SSW (191°)

CRNW Forecast and Report of Thu, 2014-0612

We paddled out around 11am with a high tide around 2pm (9.4 ft, low at 10p goes minus tide). Started out with light offshores but that quickly changed and so did the nature of the surfing waves. Surf was 2-4 ft and mostly weak. Pick out the longer period wave for better, faster, longer rides otherwise it was weak and uneventful. Nonetheless, the sunshine was out for the 5th straight day making the water beautiful and refreshing.

Terry tried the Bonzer paipo for a long ride but said he didn't have a chance to feel the 5th gear.

Trip is winding down. Am looking forward to getting home :)

Surf Height 3-4ft
3ft at 10s S (179°), 3ft at 14s SW (214°), 0ft at 6s W (267°)

  Model Cycle: 2014 JUN 12 06Z         
  Time Zone: GMT - 6 hours             
-------------------------------------------------------------
             SURF    SURF DIR   SEAS  PERIOD   WIND    WND/DIR
             (ft)       (deg)   (ft)   (sec)   (kts)     (deg)
            -------  --------  -----  ------  -------  -------
6/12   6am   3 -  7  SSW 193    4.6    13.4    6 -  9  ENE  66
6/12  12pm   3 -  6  SSW 195    4.3    13.1    1 -  1  SSW 208
6/12   6pm   4 -  8   SW 215    4.2    16.6    3 -  4   SW 219

6/13   6am   3 -  7   SW 211    3.9    15.4    4 -  5  ENE  77
6/13  12pm   3 -  7   SW 214    3.9    15.4    3 -  4   NW 322
6/13   6pm   3 -  6   SW 215    3.7    15.2    2 -  2    E  89

6/14   6am   3 -  6   SW 216    3.6    14.4    3 -  4  ENE  72
6/14  12pm   3 -  6   SW 215    3.7    14.4    1 -  2  SSE 165
6/14   6pm   3 -  7  SSW 192    3.9    16.9    4 -  5    S 183
 

CRNW Forecast of Wed, 2014-0611a

No surf for me today... rest day in recovery from this nasty cold/cough. The villa made me chicken soup last night for in-room delivery -- really hit the spot. Also my best night's sleep in awhile.

The boys, T&T, are out surfing The Wash and Northside Rock. They'd do better sticking to The Wash and eating the clean-up sets that roll through every so often. Some very nice Wash waves today. Moderate chop in the water at 10:30a, but not too bad.

  Model Cycle: 2014 JUN 10 12Z         
  Time Zone: GMT - 6 hours             
-------------------------------------------------------------
             SURF    SURF DIR   SEAS  PERIOD   WIND    WND/DIR
             (ft)       (deg)   (ft)   (sec)   (kts)     (deg)
            -------  --------  -----  ------  -------  -------
6/10   6am   4 -  9   SW 215    4.6    16.3    3 -  5    E  87
6/10  12pm   4 -  8   SW 217    4.7    15.8    1 -  1  SSW 190
6/10   6pm   4 -  8   SW 215    4.8    15.5    4 -  5  SSW 208

6/11   6am   4 -  8  SSW 201    4.8    15.4    3 -  5  NNE  24
6/11  12pm   4 -  8  SSW 198    4.7    14.9    2 -  3    W 274
6/11   6pm   3 -  7  SSW 197    4.6    14.4    6 -  8  WSW 236

6/12   6am   3 -  7  SSW 193    4.4    13.4    4 -  5    E  90
6/12  12pm   3 -  6  SSW 195    4.2    13.1    3 -  5   SW 226
6/12   6pm   4 -  8   SW 215    4.2    16.6    4 -  6   SW 227

6/13   6am   3 -  7   SW 211    3.9    15.4    3 -  4    N   9
6/13  12pm   3 -  7   SW 214    3.8    15.4    3 -  4  WSW 245
6/13   6pm   3 -  6   SW 214    3.7    15.2    3 -  5   SW 210

6/14   6am   2 -  5   SW 216    3.4    14.4    4 -  6   NE  33
6/14  12pm   3 -  6   SW 215    3.5    14.4    2 -  2   SW 213
6/14   6pm   3 -  7  SSW 192    3.7    16.8    6 -  9   SW 212



Surf Height 4-5ft
3ft at 11s S (181°), 3ft at 15s SW (215°), 2ft at 12s SW (226°)

CRNW Forecast and Reports, Mon/Tue, 2014-0609-10

I've been a bit lethargic from a cold the past few days. Yesterday I caught few waves, Tim had an all time day and Terry was out a long while. Today is a bit larger and fairly disorganized, strong SW influenced.

Bonzer Update: Nothing new to add!

  Model Cycle: 2014 JUN 10 12Z         
  Time Zone: GMT - 6 hours             
-------------------------------------------------------------
             SURF    SURF DIR   SEAS  PERIOD   WIND    WND/DIR
             (ft)       (deg)   (ft)   (sec)   (kts)     (deg)
            -------  --------  -----  ------  -------  -------
6/10   6am   4 -  9   SW 215    4.6    16.3    3 -  5    E  87
6/10  12pm   4 -  8   SW 217    4.7    15.8    1 -  1  SSW 190
6/10   6pm   4 -  8   SW 215    4.8    15.5    4 -  5  SSW 208

6/11   6am   4 -  8  SSW 201    4.8    15.4    3 -  5  NNE  24
6/11  12pm   4 -  8  SSW 198    4.7    14.9    2 -  3    W 274
6/11   6pm   3 -  7  SSW 197    4.6    14.4    6 -  8  WSW 236

6/12   6am   3 -  7  SSW 193    4.4    13.4    4 -  5    E  90
6/12  12pm   3 -  6  SSW 195    4.2    13.1    3 -  5   SW 226
6/12   6pm   4 -  8   SW 215    4.2    16.6    4 -  6   SW 227

6/13   6am   3 -  7   SW 211    3.9    15.4    3 -  4    N   9
6/13  12pm   3 -  7   SW 214    3.8    15.4    3 -  4  WSW 245
6/13   6pm   3 -  6   SW 214    3.7    15.2    3 -  5   SW 210

6/14   6am   2 -  5   SW 216    3.4    14.4    4 -  6   NE  33
6/14  12pm   3 -  6   SW 215    3.5    14.4    2 -  2   SW 213
6/14   6pm   3 -  7  SSW 192    3.7    16.8    6 -  9   SW 212

Monday evening. Forecast Outlook:
TUESDAY: SSW shifting South swell holds as new SW swell peaks in the afternoon. Surf is chest-head high with plus sets at the better exposed breaks throughout the region. Select standouts hit 7' on sets on best tides in the afternoon.
WEDNESDAY:SW swell holds as shorter-period South swell mixes in. Well exposed spots are head high plus, top breaks see 7' sets on the best tides.
SHORT TERM FORECAST (Through Friday, June 13th)  
Highlights: Fun size, overlapping Southern Hemi swells for the work week.

South Pacific Swell: Storm activity throughout the entire SPAC last week whipped up a fun size run of overlapping Southern Hemi swells for this week. The blend of shorter period SSW-South swell (200-175 deg) and longer period SW swell (220-205 deg) peaks Tuesday/Wednesday with waist-head high surf at many exposures throughout the region, and occasional overhead sets for some of the standouts. Select SW magnets will see occasional sets up to a couple feet overhead Tuesday PM through Wednesday, as the longer period SW energy tops out. Those waves will be easing on Thursday, then fade mainly into the waist-shoulder high range by Friday.

Wind/Weather: Most areas will see a typical diurnal wind pattern through the next several days; calm to light/variable to locally light+ offshore wind for the early mornings, before a moderate onshore WSW-SW'erly seabreeze gradually develops over the mid to late morning hours and into each afternoon. NOTE - Good chance for the wind to back off into the evenings for a glassoff for some locations before dark, especially the more sheltered/tucked away spots.

EXTENDED FORECAST (Saturday June 14th, and beyond)  
Highlights: Fresh round of S-SSW swell peaks early next week.

South Pacific Swell: Storm activity that slid through the central SPAC and is currently spinning off the south end of South America is the source of the next Southern Hemi. The low is looking good for a moderate size SSW shifting South swell  (210-185 deg) that starts to move in on Sunday then peaks early next week, 16th-17th, with head high plus waves and better sets at well exposed spots.  We feel the LOLA model is a bit hot right now on this swell (overcalling it), and should cool off (correct itself) over the next several days as the storm/swell continue to evolve. Stay posted for updates on this still very active storm/swell system. 

CRNW Forecast and Report of Sun, 2014-0608a

Repeat across the board from yesterday.

 

Fun surf today. Waves are smaller but typical Wash waves plus I am catching a few on Southside Rock.

Same configuration  of fins on the Bonzer and it is working well. Several nice rides with turns of various kinds and surviving odd takeoffs.

 

 Model Cycle: 2014 JUN 08 12Z         
  Time Zone: GMT - 6 hours             
-------------------------------------------------------------
             SURF    SURF DIR   SEAS  PERIOD   WIND    WND/DIR
             (ft)       (deg)   (ft)   (sec)   (kts)     (deg)
            -------  --------  -----  ------  -------  -------
6/8    6am   2 -  5  SSW 198    3.7    12.6    5 -  7   NE  38
6/8   12pm   3 -  6   SW 216    3.8    14.5    3 -  4    N   5
6/8    6pm   4 -  8   SW 216    3.9    19.1    2 -  3  SSW 190

6/9    6am   4 -  9   SW 217    4.2    17.9    4 -  6  ENE  75
6/9   12pm   4 -  9   SW 216    4.4    17.6    1 -  1   SW 214
6/9    6pm   4 -  9   SW 217    4.5    17.0    3 -  5  WSW 246

6/10   6am   4 -  9   SW 215    4.6    16.3    2 -  3  NNE  19
6/10  12pm   4 -  8   SW 217    4.7    15.8    3 -  5  SSW 192
6/10   6pm   4 -  8   SW 215    4.8    15.5    6 -  8  SSW 196

6/11   6am   4 -  8  SSW 201    4.8    15.4    2 -  3  NNE  21
6/11  12pm   4 -  8  SSW 199    4.7    14.9    4 -  5    W 279
6/11   6pm   3 -  7  SSW 198    4.6    14.4    4 -  6    W 263

6/12   6am   3 -  7  SSW 194    4.3    13.5    1 -  2  WNW 294
6/12  12pm   3 -  6  SSW 195    4.2    13.2    5 -  7  WSW 237
6/12   6pm   4 -  8   SW 215    4.1    16.6    6 -  9   SW 227

6/13   6am   3 -  7   SW 211    3.9    15.4    5 -  7    W 272
6/13  12pm   3 -  7   SW 214    3.8    15.4    6 -  9  WSW 250
6/13   6pm   3 -  6   SW 215    3.7    15.2    5 -  7  WSW 251

6/14   6am   3 -  6   SW 216    3.5    14.4    1 -  2  WSW 254
6/14  12pm   3 -  6   SW 215    3.5    14.4    4 -  6  WSW 249
6/14   6pm   3 -  7  SSW 192    3.7    16.8    4 -  5    W 268

 

CRNW Forecast and Report of Sat, 2014-0607a

Fun surf today. Waves are smaller but typical Wash waves plus I am catching a few on Southside Rock.

Same configuration  of fins on the Bonzer and it is working well. Several nice rides with turns of various kinds and surviving odd takeoffs.

  Model Cycle: 2014 JUN 07 12Z         
  Time Zone: GMT - 6 hours             
-------------------------------------------------------------
             SURF    SURF DIR   SEAS  PERIOD   WIND    WND/DIR
             (ft)       (deg)   (ft)   (sec)   (kts)     (deg)
            -------  --------  -----  ------  -------  -------
6/7    6am   3 -  6  SSW 204    3.9    13.5    2 -  3   NE  49
6/7   12pm   3 -  6  SSW 199    3.8    13.2    2 -  3   NW 329
6/7    6pm   2 -  5  SSW 204    3.7    12.9    3 -  4  WSW 232

6/8    6am   2 -  5  SSW 198    3.7    12.6    3 -  4  ENE  57
6/8   12pm   3 -  6   SW 216    3.8    14.5    2 -  2  WNW 297
6/8    6pm   4 -  8   SW 216    3.9    19.1    5 -  7  WSW 240

6/9    6am   4 -  9   SW 217    4.2    17.9    4 -  6    E  85
6/9   12pm   4 -  9   SW 216    4.5    17.6    3 -  4  SSW 197
6/9    6pm   4 -  9   SW 217    4.6    17.0    5 -  6  SSW 200

6/10   6am   4 -  9   SW 215    4.6    16.4    1 -  1  SSE 169
6/10  12pm   4 -  8   SW 217    4.6    15.8    3 -  4  WSW 230
6/10   6pm   4 -  8   SW 215    4.7    15.6    5 -  8   SW 213

6/11   6am   4 -  8  SSW 201    4.7    15.4    1 -  1  NNE  25
6/11  12pm   4 -  8  SSW 199    4.6    15.0    5 -  6  WSW 253
6/11   6pm   3 -  7  SSW 198    4.5    14.4    5 -  7   SW 226

6/12   6am   3 -  6  SSW 194    4.3    13.5    2 -  4   SW 220
6/12  12pm   3 -  6  SSW 195    4.2    13.2    5 -  7  WSW 247
6/12   6pm   4 -  8   SW 214    4.1    16.5    5 -  7  WSW 236

6/13   6am   3 -  7   SW 210    3.9    15.4    1 -  2  WNW 296
6/13  12pm   3 -  7   SW 214    3.9    15.4    5 -  7  WSW 233
6/13   6pm   3 -  6   SW 214    3.8    15.2    6 -  8   SW 225

6/14   6am   3 -  6   SW 216    3.8    14.4    1 -  2  WNW 287

Surf: 3-4ft
3ft at 14s SW (217°), 2ft at 12s SSW (194°), 1ft at 6s S (183°)

Effective Friday afternoon

SHORT TERM FORECAST (Through Wednesday, June 11th)  
Highlights: Modest mix of old/fading SSW swell and new SW swell will show for the weekend. Then more fun size, overlapping Southern Hemi swells will show next week.

South Pacific Swell: As the current/easing SSW swell (210-190 deg) continues to taper off through the weekend, a reinforcing dose of mid period SW swell (220-205 deg) will move in. Surf will hang mainly the waist-head high zone over the weekend at the better exposed breaks throughout the region. Select standouts will produce occasional slightly overhead waves/peaks on Saturday, most prominent during the best tides.

Thanks to storm activity that has been flaring up throughout the entire SPAC recently, next week will see a fun size run of overlapping Southern Hemi swells; blend of shorter period SSW-South swell (200-175 deg) and longer period SW swell (220-205 deg). All week (Mon-Fri the 9th-13th) will see waist-head high surf at many exposures throughout the region, with occasional overhead sets for some of the standouts. Select SW magnets will see occasional sets up to a couple feet overhead Tuesday PM through Wednesday, as the longer period SW energy tops out.

A FEW NOTES TO KEEP IN MIND WHEN PLANNING YOUR SESSION1) Expect smaller surf for spots less exposed. Surf will be strongest at the spots best exposed to the primary swell running each day.
2) Offshore local bathymetry can refract the given swell more so into some spots (amplifying the surf), as well as refract swell away for other locations (resulting in a swell void, smaller surf).
3) Many spots turn on or off depending on the tide, so take note of each spot's best tide window.

EXTENDED FORECAST (Thursday June 12th, and beyond)  
Highlights: A new dose of fun size SSW swell lines up for around the 15th-17th+.

South Pacific Swell: We're watching the progress of a storm that is currently sliding across the central SPAC, soon to move through the SE Pacific over the weekend. At this point, this storm is looking good to send up a fun size SSW swell (210-185 deg) for around the 15th-17th+. We feel the LOLA model is a bit hot right now on this swell (overcalling it), and should cool off (correct itself) over the next several days as the storm/swell continue to evolve. Stay posted for updates, still pending development.

CRNW Forecast and Rpt, Fri 2014-0606a (w/Bonzer Paipo Update)

Beautiful sunny blue skies with scatters high white clouds. Surf was 4-6 ft@The Wash mostly and a couple Northside Rock. Some good waves were to be had :) Tim said it was one of his all time best sessions (he is riding Red, formerly mine and then Rick Miale). Terry caught lots of good waves as well. All around good.

Bonzer Trials Update. Bonzer Fin Arrangements (same as yesterday): 2 sidebites forward, 2 small Bonzer runners aft (replacing the larger Bonzer runners), 4.5 FCS PC-5 Blue H-comb center fin at roughly the baseline position.

Another good day. This configuration is working well. I am certainly getting more dialed in. Even found myself paddling to one of the more sketchy take off zones so confidence must be gaining. Came our of some late take off, air drops and hard turns shining. Will stick with this config for a couple of days. Forecast is for smaller waves over the weekend and then a new swell filling in.

  Model Cycle: 2014 JUN 06 12Z         
  Time Zone: GMT - 6 hours             
-------------------------------------------------------------
             SURF    SURF DIR   SEAS  PERIOD   WIND    WND/DIR
             (ft)       (deg)   (ft)   (sec)   (kts)     (deg)
            -------  --------  -----  ------  -------  -------
6/6    6am   3 -  7  SSW 207    4.4    14.4    3 -  5   NE  49 FRI
6/6   12pm   3 -  7  SSW 207    4.3    14.2    3 -  5  WSW 258
6/6    6pm   3 -  6  SSW 209    4.2    13.7    6 -  9  WSW 234

6/7    6am   3 -  6  SSW 204    3.9    13.5    3 -  5   NE  31 SAT
6/7   12pm   3 -  6  SSW 199    3.8    13.2    1 -  1  NNW 343
6/7    6pm   2 -  5  SSW 204    3.7    12.9    5 -  7   SW 227

6/8    6am   2 -  5  SSW 198    3.7    12.6    3 -  4  ENE  66 SUN
6/8   12pm   3 -  6   SW 216    3.8    14.5    2 -  3  WSW 230
6/8    6pm   4 -  8   SW 216    3.9    19.1    6 -  8   SW 223

6/9    6am   4 -  8   SW 217    4.2    17.9    2 -  4   NE  37 MON
6/9   12pm   4 -  9   SW 216    4.4    17.6    3 -  4  SSW 202
6/9    6pm   4 -  9   SW 217    4.5    17.0    5 -  7   SW 217

6/10   6am   4 -  9   SW 215    4.6    16.4    2 -  3  WSW 233 TUE
6/10  12pm   4 -  8   SW 217    4.7    15.9    4 -  6  WSW 251
6/10   6pm   4 -  8   SW 215    4.7    15.6    4 -  6  WSW 241

6/11   6am   4 -  8  SSW 201    4.7    15.4    1 -  2   NE  32 WED
6/11  12pm   4 -  8  SSW 199    4.6    14.9    5 -  7   SW 227
6/11   6pm   3 -  7  SSW 198    4.6    14.4    7 -  9  SSW 207

6/12   6am   3 -  7  SSW 194    4.4    13.5    3 -  4    S 175 THU
6/12  12pm   3 -  6  SSW 196    4.3    13.2    4 -  5  WSW 238
6/12   6pm   4 -  8   SW 213    4.2    16.5    3 -  5  WSW 243

6/13   6am   3 -  7  SSW 209    4.1    15.4    2 -  3    S 173 FRI

SolSpot.com:
Swell Conditions: 3-4 feet with a dominant SW med-period swell.
Primary Swell: 2.8ft. 13.6 seconds 218 degrees (SW)
Secondary Swell: 0.9ft. 17.7 seconds 213 degrees (SSW)
Tides: 08:54 am (7.68ft)
       03:01 pm (2.03ft)
       09:16 pm (7.02ft) 

 


Surf Height: 5-5ft
4ft at 15s SSW (197°), 1ft at 14s SW (225°), 1ft at 6s W (265°)

 

CRNW Forecast and Rpt, Thu 2014-0605a (w/Bonzer Paipo Update)

We hit the water around 7am and surfed until around 915a. Waves were roughly 4 to 8 ft at Northside Rock (outer reefs were likely 8 to 12 ft). High tide 08:05 am 7.81ft. Pre-surf coffee on the bluff it appeared that the swell size had diminished quite a bit but still a very nice classic The Wash session. That changed in the time we geared up, walked down to the paddleout zone and arrived to the Rock area. The tides at work! Today's conditions had much less mixed of swell/waves in the surf zone.

Bonzer Trials Update. Bonzer Fin Arrangements: 2 sidebites forward, 2 small Bonzer runners aft (replacing the larger Bonzer runners), 4.5 FCS PC-5 Blue H-comb center fin at roughly the baseline position (see pics).

This is the best configuration thus far. The forward sidebites might be a Bonzer sacrilege but the board is turning much better on demand in addition to exhibiting its other positive Bonzer attributes. True, the waves were better shaped today, but there is no doubt the board turned much better, from pivot turns to banking off the curl/foam ball back down the line. The true sign of improvement was dodging a rock while riding the whitewater is to the shore... shudders of what would have transpired a few days ago!

Surf Zone: 6 ft@Northside Rock, much cleaner and organized today, more ridable walls.

  Model Cycle: 2014 JUN 05 06Z         
  Time Zone: GMT - 6 hours             
-------------------------------------------------------------
             SURF    SURF DIR   SEAS  PERIOD   WIND    WND/DIR
             (ft)       (deg)   (ft)   (sec)   (kts)     (deg)
            -------  --------  -----  ------  -------  -------
6/5    6am   4 -  9  SSW 203    5.1    15.5    5 -  7    E  83
6/5   12pm   4 -  9  SSW 205    4.9    15.4    6 -  8    S 186
6/5    6pm   4 -  8  SSW 205    4.7    15.1    3 -  5   SW 215

6/6    6am   3 -  7  SSW 207    4.4    14.4    2 -  3  ESE 104
6/6   12pm   3 -  7  SSW 207    4.3    14.2    3 -  4    W 262
6/6    6pm   3 -  6  SSW 209    4.2    13.7    6 -  8  WSW 257

6/7    6am   3 -  6  SSW 204    3.9    13.5    3 -  4  NNW 340
6/7   12pm   2 -  5  SSW 199    3.8    13.2    4 -  5  WNW 287
6/7    6pm   2 -  5  SSW 204    3.7    12.9    6 -  8  WSW 248

6/8    6am   2 -  5  SSW 198    3.6    12.6    2 -  3    N   0
6/8   12pm   3 -  6   SW 216    3.7    14.5    3 -  5  WSW 238
6/8    6pm   4 -  8   SW 216    3.9    19.1    6 -  8  WSW 234

6/9    6am   4 -  8   SW 217    4.2    17.9    1 -  2   NW 323
6/9   12pm   4 -  9   SW 215    4.4    17.6    4 -  6  WSW 250
6/9    6pm   4 -  9   SW 217    4.5    17.0    6 -  8   SW 224

6/10   6am   4 -  8   SW 215    4.5    16.4    0 -  0   SE 139
6/10  12pm   4 -  8   SW 217    4.4    15.9    4 -  5  WSW 231
6/10   6pm   4 -  8   SW 215    4.4    15.5    5 -  7  WSW 241

6/11   6am   4 -  8  SSW 205    4.4    15.4    3 -  4    S 186
6/11  12pm   3 -  7  SSW 203    4.3    15.0    6 -  9  SSW 207
6/11   6pm   3 -  7  SSW 201    4.4    14.5    6 -  8  SSW 200

6/12  12am   3 -  7  SSW 200    4.3    14.2    3 -  4  SSW 192

SolSpot.com
Swell Conditions: 3-4 feet with a dominant SSW med-period swell.
Primary Swell: 3.1ft. 15.2 seconds 200 degrees (SSW)
Secondary Swell: 1.1ft. 6.3 seconds 268 degrees (W)

Premier forecasting service:
Surf Height: 5-6ft
5ft at 16s SSW (204°), 2ft at 12s S (190°), 1ft at 6s W (274°)


Forecast effective Wednesday afternoon.

THURSDAY and FRIDAY: Solid SSW swell (210-190 deg) holds through Thursday, before gradually backing down over Friday and into the weekend. Expect head-overhead surf at many exposures throughout the region over the next couple days, with occasional sets hitting double overhead at the standout spots. Select big-wave magnets that favor this energy best will produce even larger sets on Thursday during the best tides.

Solid SSW swell shows now through the next couple days, then backing down over the weekend. Another decent run of SW-SSW swell lines up for next week. Check the full premium forecast for more details and the longer range outlook.

SHORT TERM FORECAST (Through Sunday, June 8th)  
Highlights: Solid SSW swell shows now through the next couple days, then backing down over the weekend.

South Pacific Swell: A new/solid SSW swell (210-190 deg) moved in and peaked today, which will hold strong through Thursday, before gradually backing down over Friday and into the weekend. Expect head-overhead surf at many exposures throughout the region over the next couple days, with occasional sets hitting double overhead at the standout spots. Select big-wave magnets that favor this energy best will produce even larger sets, especially on Thursday. This swell tapers off to mainly the waist-head high+ zone for the weekend. NOTE - Expect smaller surf for spots less exposed, or due to effects of the bathymetry.

Wind/Weather: Most areas will see a typical diurnal wind pattern through the next several days; calm to light/variable to locally light+ offshore wind for the early mornings, before a moderate onshore WSW-SW'erly seabreeze gradually develops over the mid to late morning hours and into each afternoon. NOTE - Good chance for the wind to back off into the evenings for a glassoff for some locations before dark, especially the more sheltered/tucked away spots.

Although Costa is experiencing showers and thunderstorms scattered throughout the region right now, there are certainly many areas with partly cloudy/sunny skies. Keep in mind that local storm activity can temporarily affect/change local wind conditions, as well as roads conditions (especially dirt roads) due to rainfall/flooding.

EXTENDED FORECAST (Monday June 9th, and beyond)  
Highlights: A new run of SW shifting SSW swell due for next week. Possibly more Southern Hemis lining up for the second half of the month. 

South Pacific Swell: Just as the storm that sent up the current SSW swell was finishing up in the SE Pacific, a new storm flared up on a track across the SW Pacific. As a result, a SW gradually shifting SSW swell (220-190 deg) will build in early next week, topping out Tuesday PM through Wed/Thurs (10th-12th), before easing slowly thereafter. This swell is looking good for chest-head high to overhead surf for the better exposures. Stay posted for updates, as we continue to track this approaching swell train through the South Pacific.

Further out; the long-range storm track of the SPAC is looking to turn more zonal over the next several days, which is bad news for North America, but still looking pretty decent for Central and South America. At this point, it looks like more fun Southern Hemis are lining up for Costa as we cross into the second half of the month.

CRNW Forecast and Rpt, Wed 2014-0604a (w/Bonzer Paipo Update)

Up before six, brewed up a small pot of espresso coffee, sat out on the bluff assessing the wave conditions. I was kind of skeptic about the form but Tim was rareing to go... geared up, paddled out and in the wave zone by 8am. The outer reefs were breaking 12+ and I saw a few sets come through while up on the bluff that were probably pushing 15+. The Rock was much more sedate catching the 3rd reforms. Still in the 6+ range but very weakened and lots of the smaller period waves were sneaking through mucking it up some. More down below in the Bonzer report. Skies were partly sunny and the turtles were still abundant. 

Bonzer Trials Update. Same configuration as yesterday: FCS PC-5 Blue H-comb, 4.5 inch, at the zero baseline slot classic Bonzer setup. Four bonzer runners.Slightly different wave today. Turning continues to be an issue – only a medium issue compared to the large fin trials. Unless in a steep section of the wave the board does not want to pivot turn on a dime. Next step will be to replace the rear larger bonzer runners with the small front bonzer runners and put some of my smaller side bites in the front (my sidebites are foiled but not canted). However, I believe today's fin configuration would be ideal for the Outer Wash which is usually a angled drop and race down the line or a bottom turn projecting down the line. This configuration does well at sweeping turns and down the line, but does not pivot or snap turn.

Surf Zone: 4-8' @Northside Rock, very disorganized short rides hitting the flat on the shoulder quickly necessitated a quick turn back towards the curl and then quick re-entry or banking back down the line.


  Model Cycle: 2014 JUN 04 06Z         
  Time Zone: GMT - 6 hours             
-------------------------------------------------------------
             SURF    SURF DIR   SEAS  PERIOD   WIND    WND/DIR
             (ft)       (deg)   (ft)   (sec)   (kts)     (deg)
            -------  --------  -----  ------  -------  -------
6/4    6am   6 - 12  SSW 197    5.8    17.4    3 -  5   SE 131 WED
6/4   12pm   5 - 11  SSW 197    5.7    16.6    5 -  6   SW 217
6/4    6pm   5 - 10  SSW 201    5.5    16.4    4 -  5   SW 223

6/5    6am   4 -  9  SSW 203    5.1    15.5    3 -  5  ENE  61 THU
6/5   12pm   4 -  8  SSW 205    4.9    15.4    4 -  6  SSW 202
6/5    6pm   4 -  8  SSW 205    4.7    15.1    5 -  7  WSW 231

6/6    6am   3 -  7  SSW 207    4.4    14.4    0 -  1  ENE  61 FRI
6/6   12pm   3 -  7  SSW 207    4.3    14.2    5 -  7  WSW 248
6/6    6pm   3 -  6  SSW 209    4.1    13.7    4 -  6    W 260

6/7    6am   3 -  6  SSW 204    3.9    13.5    1 -  1   NW 316 SAT
6/7   12pm   2 -  5  SSW 199    3.7    13.2    4 -  5  WSW 255
6/7    6pm   2 -  5  SSW 204    3.7    12.9    7 -  9  WSW 249

6/8    6am   2 -  5  SSW 198    3.6    12.6    4 -  5   NW 316 SUN
6/8   12pm   3 -  6   SW 215    3.7    14.4    5 -  8    W 267
6/8    6pm   4 -  8   SW 216    3.9    19.1    6 -  9  WSW 239

6/9    6am   4 -  9   SW 216    4.3    17.9    1 -  2  WSW 257 MON
6/9   12pm   4 -  9   SW 215    4.4    17.6    6 -  9  WSW 254
6/9    6pm   4 -  9   SW 217    4.4    17.0    6 -  9  WSW 247

6/10   6am   4 -  8   SW 215    4.5    16.4    3 -  4   SW 217 TUE
6/10  12pm   4 -  8   SW 217    4.5    15.9    7 -  9   SW 214
6/10   6pm   4 -  8   SW 215    4.7    15.6    8 - 11   SW 226

6/11  12am   4 -  8  SSW 209    4.8    15.5    6 -  8  SSW 194

SolSpot Swell Conditions:
4-5 feet with a dominant SSW long-period swell.
Primary Swell: 3.4ft. 16.5 seconds 195 degrees (SSW)
Secondary Swell: 2.5ft. 11.6 seconds 179 degrees (S)

Surfline:
Surf Height 7-8ft
5ft at 12s SSW (198°), 4ft at 18s SSW (202°), 3ft at 7s W (269°)

CRNW Report (Bonzer Paipo Update) Tue, 2014-0603pm

Cloudy in later afternoon but did not look terribly threatening. It worked out okay. Waves were a bit funky with multiple swell influence and the larger waves were breaking and reforming once or twice. Conditions were low tide going high, low to no winds but a light surface chop on the water. Walls usually sectioned down the line and many waves did not provide typical long rides. There was a lot of swell in the water. We surfed Northside Rock, 4-8 ft. Tim Lumley had his best wave ever!!!

Bonzer Paipo Trials Update: For this afternoon's evaluation I stepped down to the 4-1/2 inch FCS PC-5 Blue H-comb. The fin was placed at the Baseline 0 position (where the leading edge is at the trailing edge of the rear runners).

Evaluation: This afternoon's trials were a significant improvement over the 6" and 5.25" fins. The 4.5 inch fins appears to be working much better than the others. Now I will run it through trials in other surf conditions (every day/session is a little different). My last wave was the best ride of the trip (not the best wave of the trip!). Smiles.

Photos of the Fins

6 in True Ames Bonzer, 5.25 in True Ames and 4.5 in FCS PC-5 Blue H-comb

5.25 in True Ames overlay of the 6 in True Ames Bonzer

4-1/2 in FCS overlay of the 5-1/4 in True Ames

4-1/2 in FCS overlay of the 6 in True Ames Bonzer