Saturday, June 7, 2014

CRNW Forecast and Report of Sat, 2014-0607a

Fun surf today. Waves are smaller but typical Wash waves plus I am catching a few on Southside Rock.
Same configuration  of fins on the Bonzer and it is working well. Several nice rides with turns of various kinds and surviving odd takeoffs.

  Model Cycle: 2014 JUN 07 12Z         
  Time Zone: GMT - 6 hours             
-------------------------------------------------------------
             SURF    SURF DIR   SEAS  PERIOD   WIND    WND/DIR
             (ft)       (deg)   (ft)   (sec)   (kts)     (deg)
            -------  --------  -----  ------  -------  -------
6/7    6am   3 -  6  SSW 204    3.9    13.5    2 -  3   NE  49
6/7   12pm   3 -  6  SSW 199    3.8    13.2    2 -  3   NW 329
6/7    6pm   2 -  5  SSW 204    3.7    12.9    3 -  4  WSW 232

6/8    6am   2 -  5  SSW 198    3.7    12.6    3 -  4  ENE  57
6/8   12pm   3 -  6   SW 216    3.8    14.5    2 -  2  WNW 297
6/8    6pm   4 -  8   SW 216    3.9    19.1    5 -  7  WSW 240

6/9    6am   4 -  9   SW 217    4.2    17.9    4 -  6    E  85
6/9   12pm   4 -  9   SW 216    4.5    17.6    3 -  4  SSW 197
6/9    6pm   4 -  9   SW 217    4.6    17.0    5 -  6  SSW 200

6/10   6am   4 -  9   SW 215    4.6    16.4    1 -  1  SSE 169
6/10  12pm   4 -  8   SW 217    4.6    15.8    3 -  4  WSW 230
6/10   6pm   4 -  8   SW 215    4.7    15.6    5 -  8   SW 213

6/11   6am   4 -  8  SSW 201    4.7    15.4    1 -  1  NNE  25
6/11  12pm   4 -  8  SSW 199    4.6    15.0    5 -  6  WSW 253
6/11   6pm   3 -  7  SSW 198    4.5    14.4    5 -  7   SW 226

6/12   6am   3 -  6  SSW 194    4.3    13.5    2 -  4   SW 220
6/12  12pm   3 -  6  SSW 195    4.2    13.2    5 -  7  WSW 247
6/12   6pm   4 -  8   SW 214    4.1    16.5    5 -  7  WSW 236

6/13   6am   3 -  7   SW 210    3.9    15.4    1 -  2  WNW 296
6/13  12pm   3 -  7   SW 214    3.9    15.4    5 -  7  WSW 233
6/13   6pm   3 -  6   SW 214    3.8    15.2    6 -  8   SW 225

6/14   6am   3 -  6   SW 216    3.8    14.4    1 -  2  WNW 287


Surf: 3-4ft
3ft at 14s SW (217°), 2ft at 12s SSW (194°), 1ft at 6s S (183°)

Effective Friday afternoon

SHORT TERM FORECAST (Through Wednesday, June 11th)  
Highlights: Modest mix of old/fading SSW swell and new SW swell will show for the weekend. Then more fun size, overlapping Southern Hemi swells will show next week.

South Pacific Swell: As the current/easing SSW swell (210-190 deg) continues to taper off through the weekend, a reinforcing dose of mid period SW swell (220-205 deg) will move in. Surf will hang mainly the waist-head high zone over the weekend at the better exposed breaks throughout the region. Select standouts will produce occasional slightly overhead waves/peaks on Saturday, most prominent during the best tides.

Thanks to storm activity that has been flaring up throughout the entire SPAC recently, next week will see a fun size run of overlapping Southern Hemi swells; blend of shorter period SSW-South swell (200-175 deg) and longer period SW swell (220-205 deg). All week (Mon-Fri the 9th-13th) will see waist-head high surf at many exposures throughout the region, with occasional overhead sets for some of the standouts. Select SW magnets will see occasional sets up to a couple feet overhead Tuesday PM through Wednesday, as the longer period SW energy tops out.

A FEW NOTES TO KEEP IN MIND WHEN PLANNING YOUR SESSION1) Expect smaller surf for spots less exposed. Surf will be strongest at the spots best exposed to the primary swell running each day.
2) Offshore local bathymetry can refract the given swell more so into some spots (amplifying the surf), as well as refract swell away for other locations (resulting in a swell void, smaller surf).
3) Many spots turn on or off depending on the tide, so take note of each spot's best tide window.

EXTENDED FORECAST (Thursday June 12th, and beyond)  
Highlights: A new dose of fun size SSW swell lines up for around the 15th-17th+.

South Pacific Swell: We're watching the progress of a storm that is currently sliding across the central SPAC, soon to move through the SE Pacific over the weekend. At this point, this storm is looking good to send up a fun size SSW swell (210-185 deg) for around the 15th-17th+. We feel the LOLA model is a bit hot right now on this swell (overcalling it), and should cool off (correct itself) over the next several days as the storm/swell continue to evolve. Stay posted for updates, still pending development.

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