CRNW Forecast and Report of Tue, 2014-0603a

Heavy rains yesterday afternoon and it rained off and on during the early evening. Thunder and lightening. This morning we awoke to largely sunny blue skies with high wispy clouds. After making our espresso drip coffee and watching the surf we geared up and paddled out. Conditions were high tide going low, low to no winds but a light surface chop on the water. There was a lot of swell in the water. We surfed Northside Rock, 4-7 ft, occasional nice 8 ft drops. The Outer Wash was not working well when we paddled out but it did look better from the bluff a few hours later. Tim Lumley was having a blast on Red, his new paipo board, his first foam/glass finned board. (The board was birthed in July 1999, me being the Papa, built by Ashton. I sold Red to Rick Miale a few years back and he sold it to Tim over the Winter.) P.S. Tim must really like his new board... can't mention what he was doing to the nose a few minutes ago other than to say he was lip to lip!

Bonzer Paipo Trials Update: For today's evaluation I stepped down to a 5-1/4 inch True Ames clear fin (the fin used to be a True Ames 6" fin that had virtually the same profile as the Bonzer 6" fin. Size reduction due to several reef scrapings!). The fin was placed at the Baseline 0 position (where the leading edge is at the trailing edge of the rear runners).

A Note on My Fin Placements: Being in a remote location amongst the jungles of Costa Rica, I don't have all the correct instruments for measuring angles, no straight edges, to T-squares, etc. So I eyeballed the initial placement of the center fin to be as close to trailing edge meets leading edge and then measured the distance from the rear base of the fin to the tail tip of the board. When I return home I can use all the tools to measure to a higher degree of precision ;) 

Evaluation: Today's trials were a significant improvement over the 6" fin placements. I still encountered some resistance to turning in a few instances but it was more responsive but not yet at the "think and the board reacts as intended." I am not at the place with today's fin where taking off over a shallow ledge is predictable and controlled on my end (of course, the wave can always dictate what WILL in fact happen, but at least I have predictability and control in disaster responses with my Austin boards). This fin is also not up to predictable response in underwater rock collision maneuvers!

But, yeah, I had a lot more fun in today's surf then in the prior two trials. Therefore, instead of moving this fin forward 5/8", I am moving directly to the 4.5" FCS Blue Honeycomb at Baseline 0 position for the next sea trials.


  Model Cycle: 2014 JUN 03 06Z         
  Time Zone: GMT - 6 hours             
-------------------------------------------------------------
             SURF    SURF DIR   SEAS  PERIOD   WIND    WND/DIR
             (ft)       (deg)   (ft)   (sec)   (kts)     (deg)
            -------  --------  -----  ------  -------  -------
6/3    6am   7 - 14  SSW 194    5.8    20.3    3 -  4  ENE  52 TUE
6/3   12pm   6 - 13  SSW 195    5.8    19.2    4 -  5  SSW 201
6/3    6pm   6 - 13  SSW 195    5.9    18.6    5 -  7  SSW 206

6/4    6am   6 - 12  SSW 197    5.8    17.4    0 -  0  NNE  18 WED
6/4   12pm   5 - 11  SSW 197    5.7    16.6    3 -  5   SW 222
6/4    6pm   5 - 10  SSW 201    5.5    16.4    4 -  6  WSW 237

6/5    6am   4 -  9  SSW 203    5.1    15.5    2 -  3  NNE  16 THU
6/5   12pm   4 -  8  SSW 205    4.9    15.4    3 -  4  WSW 251
6/5    6pm   4 -  8  SSW 205    4.7    15.1    4 -  6  WSW 232

6/6    6am   3 -  7  SSW 207    4.4    14.4    1 -  1    N   4 FRI
6/6   12pm   3 -  7  SSW 207    4.3    14.2    6 -  8    W 271
6/6    6pm   3 -  6  SSW 209    4.1    13.7    5 -  7  WSW 254

6/7    6am   3 -  6  SSW 204    3.8    13.5    3 -  4  NNW 346 SAT
6/7   12pm   2 -  5  SSW 199    3.7    13.2    1 -  2  WNW 293
6/7    6pm   2 -  5  SSW 204    3.6    12.9    5 -  8    W 267

6/8    6am   2 -  5  SSW 198    3.6    12.6    2 -  3   NW 328 SUN
6/8   12pm   3 -  6   SW 216    3.7    14.4    7 - 10  WSW 258
6/8    6pm   4 -  9   SW 216    4.1    19.1   10 - 13    W 268

6/9    6am   4 -  9   SW 216    4.3    17.9    2 -  2   NW 326
6/9   12pm   4 -  9   SW 215    4.3    17.6    6 -  8  WSW 237
6/9    6pm   4 -  8   SW 217    4.3    17.0    6 -  9  WSW 242

6/10  12am   4 -  8   SW 216    4.3    16.5    3 -  4  WSW 231

SolSpot:
4-6 feet with a dominant SSW long-period swell.
Primary Swell: 2.9ft. 18.9 seconds 195 degrees (SSW)
Secondary Swell: 3.2ft. 13.5 seconds 187 degrees (S)
 

by Austin Gendron
(Friday) 5.30.14

 

Long-Range Surf forecast Central America and Mainland Mexico
South Pacific Swell Forecast
The southern hemi models have been a bit shifty lately but continue to suggest decent swell for the second week of June.

This guy comes around New Zealand over the weekend and doesn’t get much NE movement, but still has enough to send Central America a nice little shot of SSE (200-215) for around the 8th of June.

Another smaller system makes its way around the Island chain mid-next week.  This storm doesn’t hold together quite as long as the previous systems but it will still be good enough to keep some shoulder high waves showing at the exposed breaks starting June 13th/14th.

East Pacific Tropical Forecast

There’s currently some action brewing south of Salina Cruz, MX that could be something in the next few days.

The global models are showing it becoming a pretty active system by the end of the weekend.

It’s way too early to call for sure, but by the end of the weekend there could be some solid windswell in the mix for Southern Mexico and the northern countries of Central America.  Stay tuned for more updates though

Premier Forecasting Service 
 
 
 

Forecast Outlook:
TUESDAY: SSW swell fills in for head high to overhead+ surf and better sets, largest late.
WEDNESDAY: SSW swell peaks with overhead to double overhead waves at well exposed spots.

WEATHER/WIND: Northern CR will see offshore flow in the mornings turning to a light+ seabreeze for the afternoons. The southern half of the peninsula sees the offshores in the mornings then a moderate seabreeze develops by the afternoon. NOTE - Showers and thunderstorms can temporarily affect/change local wind conditions.  

SHORT TERM FORECAST (Through Thursday, June 5th)   Highlights:  Southern Hemi peaks during the first half of the week as some tropical swell shows.
South Pacific Swell:  Very healthy mix of Southern Hemi swell builds to it peak during the first half of this week. The broad range blend of  SW-SSW-S (220-185) groundswells is concentrated towards the southern end of the spectrum so areas with the best exposure to that direction will see the most size, but there will be good waves showing at lots of spots. On Tuesday PM and Wednesday, look for consistent head high to several feet overhead zone surf at many breaks, as the better exposures hit double overhead when the swell peaks on Wednesday. Standouts see larger then. Slowly easing size on Thursday as old swell tapers off and reinforcing SSW swell joins in. Still lots of good waves then. 
Wind/Weather: Expect to see plenty of rain as long as that tropical system sticks around the region. Most of Costa Rica will see light/variable to locally light offshore wind for the early mornings, before a moderate W/SW seabreeze develops over the morning hours and into each afternoon. Similar winds due for the Nicoya Peninsula for the next few days. Stay tuned.

EXTENDED FORECAST (Friday, June 6th and beyond)  
Highlights: Southern Hemi eases into the weekend.
South Pacific Swell: Blend of SSW-S (205-185) swell fades by the end of the work week but still looking for lots of head high plus waves on Friday. Trend towards decreasing size continues through Saturday and Sunday, as a new SW swell begins to join in late Sunday. That moderate scale Southern Hemi is due to peak during the first part of the following week, 10th-11th. Stay tuned for the latest updates on that developing storm/swell system.