Thursday, June 5, 2014

CRNW Forecast and Rpt, Thu 2014-0605a (w/Bonzer Paipo Update)

We hit the water around 7am and surfed until around 915a. Waves were roughly 4 to 8 ft at Northside Rock (outer reefs were likely 8 to 12 ft). High tide 08:05 am 7.81ft. Pre-surf coffee on the bluff it appeared that the swell size had diminished quite a bit but still a very nice classic The Wash session. That changed in the time we geared up, walked down to the paddleout zone and arrived to the Rock area. The tides at work! Today's conditions had much less mixed of swell/waves in the surf zone.

Bonzer Trials Update. Bonzer Fin Arrangements: 2 sidebites forward, 2 small Bonzer runners aft (replacing the larger Bonzer runners), 4.5 FCS PC-5 Blue H-comb center fin at roughly the baseline position (see pics).

This is the best configuration thus far. The forward sidebites might be a Bonzer sacrilege but the board is turning much better on demand in addition to exhibiting its other positive Bonzer attributes. True, the waves were better shaped today, but there is no doubt the board turned much better, from pivot turns to banking off the curl/foam ball back down the line. The true sign of improvement was dodging a rock while riding the whitewater is to the shore... shudders of what would have transpired a few days ago!

Surf Zone: 6 ft@Northside Rock, much cleaner and organized today, more ridable walls.






  Model Cycle: 2014 JUN 05 06Z         
  Time Zone: GMT - 6 hours             
-------------------------------------------------------------
             SURF    SURF DIR   SEAS  PERIOD   WIND    WND/DIR
             (ft)       (deg)   (ft)   (sec)   (kts)     (deg)
            -------  --------  -----  ------  -------  -------
6/5    6am   4 -  9  SSW 203    5.1    15.5    5 -  7    E  83
6/5   12pm   4 -  9  SSW 205    4.9    15.4    6 -  8    S 186
6/5    6pm   4 -  8  SSW 205    4.7    15.1    3 -  5   SW 215

6/6    6am   3 -  7  SSW 207    4.4    14.4    2 -  3  ESE 104
6/6   12pm   3 -  7  SSW 207    4.3    14.2    3 -  4    W 262
6/6    6pm   3 -  6  SSW 209    4.2    13.7    6 -  8  WSW 257

6/7    6am   3 -  6  SSW 204    3.9    13.5    3 -  4  NNW 340
6/7   12pm   2 -  5  SSW 199    3.8    13.2    4 -  5  WNW 287
6/7    6pm   2 -  5  SSW 204    3.7    12.9    6 -  8  WSW 248

6/8    6am   2 -  5  SSW 198    3.6    12.6    2 -  3    N   0
6/8   12pm   3 -  6   SW 216    3.7    14.5    3 -  5  WSW 238
6/8    6pm   4 -  8   SW 216    3.9    19.1    6 -  8  WSW 234

6/9    6am   4 -  8   SW 217    4.2    17.9    1 -  2   NW 323
6/9   12pm   4 -  9   SW 215    4.4    17.6    4 -  6  WSW 250
6/9    6pm   4 -  9   SW 217    4.5    17.0    6 -  8   SW 224

6/10   6am   4 -  8   SW 215    4.5    16.4    0 -  0   SE 139
6/10  12pm   4 -  8   SW 217    4.4    15.9    4 -  5  WSW 231
6/10   6pm   4 -  8   SW 215    4.4    15.5    5 -  7  WSW 241

6/11   6am   4 -  8  SSW 205    4.4    15.4    3 -  4    S 186
6/11  12pm   3 -  7  SSW 203    4.3    15.0    6 -  9  SSW 207
6/11   6pm   3 -  7  SSW 201    4.4    14.5    6 -  8  SSW 200

6/12  12am   3 -  7  SSW 200    4.3    14.2    3 -  4  SSW 192


SolSpot.com
Swell Conditions: 3-4 feet with a dominant SSW med-period swell.
Primary Swell: 3.1ft. 15.2 seconds 200 degrees (SSW)
Secondary Swell: 1.1ft. 6.3 seconds 268 degrees (W)


Premier forecasting service:
Surf Height: 5-6ft
5ft at 16s SSW (204°), 2ft at 12s S (190°), 1ft at 6s W (274°)



Forecast effective Wednesday afternoon.
THURSDAY and FRIDAY: Solid SSW swell (210-190 deg) holds through Thursday, before gradually backing down over Friday and into the weekend. Expect head-overhead surf at many exposures throughout the region over the next couple days, with occasional sets hitting double overhead at the standout spots. Select big-wave magnets that favor this energy best will produce even larger sets on Thursday during the best tides.

Solid SSW swell shows now through the next couple days, then backing down over the weekend. Another decent run of SW-SSW swell lines up for next week. Check the full premium forecast for more details and the longer range outlook.
SHORT TERM FORECAST (Through Sunday, June 8th)  
Highlights: Solid SSW swell shows now through the next couple days, then backing down over the weekend.

South Pacific Swell: A new/solid SSW swell (210-190 deg) moved in and peaked today, which will hold strong through Thursday, before gradually backing down over Friday and into the weekend. Expect head-overhead surf at many exposures throughout the region over the next couple days, with occasional sets hitting double overhead at the standout spots. Select big-wave magnets that favor this energy best will produce even larger sets, especially on Thursday. This swell tapers off to mainly the waist-head high+ zone for the weekend. NOTE - Expect smaller surf for spots less exposed, or due to effects of the bathymetry.

Wind/Weather: Most areas will see a typical diurnal wind pattern through the next several days; calm to light/variable to locally light+ offshore wind for the early mornings, before a moderate onshore WSW-SW'erly seabreeze gradually develops over the mid to late morning hours and into each afternoon. NOTE - Good chance for the wind to back off into the evenings for a glassoff for some locations before dark, especially the more sheltered/tucked away spots.

Although Costa is experiencing showers and thunderstorms scattered throughout the region right now, there are certainly many areas with partly cloudy/sunny skies. Keep in mind that local storm activity can temporarily affect/change local wind conditions, as well as roads conditions (especially dirt roads) due to rainfall/flooding.

EXTENDED FORECAST (Monday June 9th, and beyond)  
Highlights: A new run of SW shifting SSW swell due for next week. Possibly more Southern Hemis lining up for the second half of the month. 

South Pacific Swell: Just as the storm that sent up the current SSW swell was finishing up in the SE Pacific, a new storm flared up on a track across the SW Pacific. As a result, a SW gradually shifting SSW swell (220-190 deg) will build in early next week, topping out Tuesday PM through Wed/Thurs (10th-12th), before easing slowly thereafter. This swell is looking good for chest-head high to overhead surf for the better exposures. Stay posted for updates, as we continue to track this approaching swell train through the South Pacific.

Further out; the long-range storm track of the SPAC is looking to turn more zonal over the next several days, which is bad news for North America, but still looking pretty decent for Central and South America. At this point, it looks like more fun Southern Hemis are lining up for Costa as we cross into the second half of the month.



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