Wednesday, March 8, 2017

CRNW 2017-0308 (Wed) Forecast & Report

The written forecast below is close to what we have experienced today although if we were chasing a few of the take-off drops at Southside Rock or Lil Alamoana they would be head high+. Another fun morning surf after breakfast mostly with rides at The Wash and some Southside Wash. Both us were very satisfied boys today. Especially with the fresh water flowing again at the villa! Breakfast before surfing this morning. I would call most of our waves 3 ft., some with larger drops and sometimes on the inside it would wall up nicely to 4 ft. or something.



  Model Cycle: 2017 MAR 08 06Z          
  Time Zone: GMT - 6 hours              
-------------------------------------------------------------
             SURF    SURF DIR   SEAS  PERIOD   WIND    WND/DIR
             (ft)       (deg)   (ft)   (sec)   (kts)     (deg)
            -------  --------  -----  ------  -------  -------
3/8   12am   2 -  5  SSW 195    4.0    12.4   18 - 24  ENE  54 WED
3/8    6am   3 -  7  SSW 196    4.8    12.3   15 - 21  ENE  52
3/8   12pm   4 -  8   SW 211    4.2    16.4    6 -  9  NNE  28
3/8    6pm   4 -  8   SW 214    4.2    16.3   16 - 21  ENE  52
 
3/9   12am   5 - 10   SW 210    5.5    15.5   18 - 24  ENE  52 THU
3/9    6am   4 -  9   SW 214    5.0    15.3   15 - 20   NE  42
3/9   12pm   4 -  8   SW 216    4.5    15.2    9 - 12  NNE  18
3/9    6pm   4 -  8   SW 214    4.7    14.6   15 - 21  ENE  50
 
3/10   6am   4 -  9   SW 216    5.2    14.3   17 - 23  ENE  56 FRI
3/10  12pm   3 -  7   SW 216    4.5    14.2    4 -  5  ENE  71
3/10   6pm   3 -  6   SW 216    4.1    13.7    8 - 11  SSW 203
 
3/11   6am   3 -  7   SW 217    4.6    13.5   14 - 20  ENE  51 SAT
3/11  12pm   4 -  8  SSW 194    4.2    17.5    4 -  6   SW 211
3/11   6pm   4 -  8  SSW 196    4.1    16.4    9 - 13  SSW 203
 
3/12   6am   3 -  7  SSW 199    3.9    15.3    9 - 12   NE  44 SUN
3/12  12pm   3 -  6  SSW 200    3.9    14.6    6 -  8  WSW 252
3/12   6pm   3 -  6  SSW 201    3.8    14.3    4 -  5  WSW 238
 
3/13   6am   3 -  7   SW 219    3.7    17.8    3 -  5    N 359 MON
3/13  12pm   3 -  7   SW 218    3.7    17.6    6 -  9  WNW 288
3/13   6pm   3 -  7   SW 218    3.7    16.7    5 -  7  WSW 242
 
3/14   6am   3 -  7   SW 218    3.6    16.4    4 -  6  NNW 349 TUE
3/14  12pm   3 -  6   SW 219    3.6    15.6    7 - 10  WNW 280
3/14   6pm   3 -  7   SW 219    3.8    15.4    9 - 13   SW 227
 
3/15  12am   3 -  6   SW 219    3.6    15.3    3 -  4  NNE  17 WED
 
Effective Monday afternoon
FORECAST HIGHLIGHTS 
  • Smaller/fading Tue-Wed
  • Fun surf Fri-Mon
  • More fun surf long range (but nothing major)
SHORT TERM FORECAST: (through Wednesday, March 8th)                        

South Pacific: The fun to mid size, overlapping SSW swells (210-190) from the past couple days will trend town through mid week. Look for still rideable, fairly fun size surf on Tuesday in the 2-3'+ range for many breaks, with sets to 4' (shoulder high) at the top breaks. Smaller leftovers are expected on Wednesday, with the majority of spots falling to waist high and below.

Wind/Weather: A diurnal pattern continues across most of Costa Rica through the week. Mornings will start with light/variable to locally light offshore flow, with winds trending onshore by the mid to late morning. Then a light to moderate onshore sea-breeze develops in the afternoons, with a clean up in some areas around sunset.

For northernmost CR (north of Playa Grande), look for breezy offshore flow to persist for most of the week.

EXTENDED FORECAST: (Thursday, March 9th, and beyond) 
      
South Pacific: While there is still nothing major on the radar in the medium or long term, there are plenty of fun size pulses (between chest and head high) that we'll be tracking for the next 7-10+ days.

The next swells on the horizon will primarily show from Friday the 10th through the following Monday the 13th. The first of these swells will be more 'west' than we've seen of late coming from the SW (220-210 degrees) for Fri-Sat from a distant storm recently near New Zealand. While sets are likely lully, fun size waves in the waist-chest high range look likely at the better breaks, while standouts see occasional shoulder high sets.

A follow-up SSW swell (205-190) for Sun-Mon should be both slightly larger and at least a bit more consistent thanks to a closer storm the past couple days. At this point we expect the exposed breaks to see waist-shoulder high surf, while good spots hit head high (and standouts may even be a little larger). Stay tuned, we'll refine details in the next few days.

Beyond that, model guidance has been fairly consistent in showing more swells from the SW and SSW through the middle part of the month (14th-18th and possibly beyond). We're of at least medium confidence that more fun size surf will prevail, roughly similar in size to the above swells. We'll have more details in our next few forecast updates. 

 
 
 

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