CRNW Forecast of 2017-0614, Wednesday pm update

Evening Update: narrative at the bottom

  Model Cycle: 2017 JUN 14 06Z          
  Time Zone: GMT - 6 hours              
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             SURF    SURF DIR   SEAS  PERIOD   WIND    WND/DIR
             (ft)       (deg)   (ft)   (sec)   (kts)     (deg)
            -------  --------  -----  ------  -------  -------
6/14   6am   3 -  6   SW 218    3.5    14.8    2 -  3   SE 140
6/14  12pm   3 -  6   SW 218    3.5    14.5    4 -  6  SSE 160
 
6/15   6am   3 -  6   SW 218    4.0    13.6    8 - 11   SE 145
6/15  12pm   3 -  6   SW 217    4.2    13.6    7 - 10  SSE 153
 
6/16   6am   4 -  9   SW 212    5.7    13.4   11 - 15  SSW 208
6/16  12pm   2 -  4  SSW 199    5.8     7.0    8 - 11    S 187
6/16   6pm   4 -  8   SW 211    5.7    12.7    9 - 13  SSW 196
 
6/17   6am   5 - 11    S 189    5.4    17.4    7 - 10  SSE 169
6/17  12pm   5 - 10  SSW 191    5.3    16.6    9 - 13  SSE 166
6/17   6pm   5 - 10  SSW 192    5.3    16.3    8 - 11    S 188
 
6/18   6am   5 - 10  SSW 195    5.7    16.0    8 - 11  SSW 200 SUN
6/18  12pm   5 - 11  SSW 195    6.0    15.6    8 - 11    S 189
6/18   6pm   5 - 11  SSW 195    6.1    15.4    4 -  6   SW 229
 

6/19   6am   5 - 11  SSW 192    6.2    15.1    4 -  6    S 189 MON
6/19  12pm   5 - 10  SSW 192    6.2    14.8    6 -  8   SW 225
6/19   6pm   5 - 10    S 189    6.1    14.5    6 -  8  WSW 247
 
6/20   6am   4 -  9    S 189    5.9    13.7    3 -  5  WNW 301 TUE
6/20  12pm   4 -  9    S 187    5.7    13.6    4 -  6  WNW 288
6/20   6pm   4 -  9    S 185    5.7    13.4    8 - 11  WSW 258
 
6/21  12am   6 - 12   SW 215    5.8    17.7    8 - 11    W 263 WED

Effective Wednesday afternoon
                HIGHLIGHTS  

• Modest S/SW swell mix Thurs-Fri
• Good run of SSW-S swell Sun thru next week
• Winds/conditions best in the AM

EXTENDED FORECAST: (Saturday, June 17th, and beyond)                  

Swell/Surf: The South Pacific has fired back up with three separate, respectable storms across the basin, from near New Zealand, to offshore of Chile. As a result, a series of good swells ranging from SW to South are stacking up for Central America for the next couple of weeks.

The modest size SSW swell (220-210°) looks too hold in size for Saturday.  At the same time, a new SSW (200-190°) swell builds through Saturday and Sunday thanks to a nice sized system tracking eastward through the SE Pacific.  The swell from it will be fairly solid when it peaks late Sunday/early Monday, as we're seeing an impressive, satellite-confirmed SSE-SW fetch of 35-45kts winds both well aimed and relatively close to Central America. Another plus, this swell looks fairly long duration, as it rotates from a more southerly direction and gradually eases through late next week. 

In addition, another strong storm has moved out from under New Zealand over the past couple days. This storm will deliver some long period SSW energy (225-215°) that will mix in with the gradually easing S/SSW swell discussed in the paragraph above for next week. 

Overall, we're looking at a pretty good run of surf from Sunday, the 18th, through the end of next week. Many spots will be seeing at least head-overhead surf during this event, while standouts produce some well overhead sets. Occasional double overhead+ waves will show for select magnets during the peak of the swell. This run will gradually back down for the following weekend (24th-25th) but the longer range still looks fairly active, so more swells are likely after that. Stay tuned.