Tuesday, March 11, 2014

CRNW Forecast and Report of Tue, 2014-0311am

Unlike yesterday when the Papagayos started up lightly and increased throughout the morning into the early afternoon it was the Pupugayos that followed that time track. Plenty of swell in the water but it was tiring to paddle against the wind and the chop and the waves were increasingly blown-out. Three of the boys walked up to Turtleheads -- Griz didn't paddleout because there were already 8 people on it and the waves were not holding very good form (wind was not as much a factor).

  Model Cycle: 2014 MAR 11 06Z         
  Time Zone: GMT - 7 hours             
-------------------------------------------------------------
             SURF    SURF DIR   SEAS  PERIOD   WIND    WND/DIR
             (ft)       (deg)   (ft)   (sec)   (kts)     (deg)
            -------  --------  -----  ------  -------  -------
3/11   5am   2 -  5   SW 223    3.3    13.8    9 - 12  ENE  57
3/11  11am   3 -  6   SW 221    3.3    15.4    0 -  0  NNW 336
3/11   5pm   3 -  6   SW 215    3.3    15.3    9 - 12   SW 221

3/12   5am   2 -  5   SW 217    3.0    14.3    3 -  5  ENE  52
3/12  11am   2 -  5   SW 220    3.0    14.0    6 -  9   NW 316
3/12   5pm   2 -  5   SW 217    3.1    13.5    8 - 11  WSW 257

3/13   5am   3 -  7    S 186    3.4    18.5    5 -  7  NNE  27
3/13  11am   3 -  7    S 188    3.7    17.8    7 -  9    N 354
3/13   5pm   4 -  8    S 188    4.2    17.3    5 -  7   NE  43

3/14   5am   4 -  8  SSW 192    4.4    16.2   11 - 15   NE  49
3/14  11am   4 -  8  SSW 191    4.5    15.5    6 -  9   NE  47
3/14   5pm   3 -  7  SSW 194    4.1    15.3    3 -  4  SSE 169

3/15   5am   3 -  6  SSW 197    3.7    14.4    7 - 10   NE  43
3/15  11am   3 -  6  SSW 200    3.7    14.2    5 -  7  NNE  24
3/15   5pm   2 -  5  SSW 197    3.6    13.6    2 -  3  WSW 249

3/16   5am   2 -  5  SSW 204    3.2    13.3    7 -  9  ENE  62
3/16  11am   2 -  4  SSW 196    3.1    12.8    3 -  4  WSW 255
3/16   5pm   2 -  4  SSW 196    3.2    12.7    9 - 13  WSW 231

3/17   5am   2 -  4  SSW 198    2.9    12.3    3 -  5   NE  48
3/17  11am   2 -  4  SSW 192    2.8    12.1    5 -  7    W 274
3/17   5pm   2 -  4  SSW 193    3.0    12.0    8 - 11  WSW 248



Monday Evening Forecast Outlook:


TUESDAY: Old SW swell fades as new SSW swell slowly joins in for mainly waist-chest high waves. Small NW swell mixes in at exposures. Peaky at combo beach breaks.
WEDNESDAY: More SSW swell with waist-head high waves at exposures. Small NW swell holds at exposures. Fun peaks at combo beach breaks.

SHORT TERM FORECAST (Through Thursday, March 13th)
Highlights: More Southern Hemi swell and some NW groundswell for best exposures.

South Pacific Swell/Surf: Old SW swell fades on Tuesday as a new SSW swell (190-205) slowly fills in, for mainly waist-chest high waves and some plus sets at the better breaks. The SSW swell peaks by Wednesday for waist-head high surf at well exposed spots. By Thursday a fresh round of long-period South swell begins to join in while the SSW swell eases, setting up waist-shoulder high zone waves.

North Pacific Swell: Fairly consistent storm activity in the North Pacific recently sent down a fun size NW swell for Tuesday and Wednesday, with waist-chest high surf at well exposed breaks of North CR, while standouts there see some better sets. Beach breaks that are exposed to both the SW and WNW swells rolling in then should see some really fun, crossed up peaks at times. The NW swell will be easing by Thursday.

EXTENDED FORECAST (Friday, March 14th and beyond)
Highlights: More Southern Hemi and some NPAC NW swells for later in the week.

South Pacific Swell: A storm off the south end of South America last week sent up a long-period S swell (180-195) for this week. The fresh Southen Hemi starts to show late Thursday then fills in on Friday for shoulder high to a foot overhead zone surf at good exposures as top breaks see better sets. Those waves hold on Saturday then slowly taper off by the end of the weekend, still plenty of head high surf left for Sunday. The trend towards dropping size then continues for the first part of next week.

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