WEATHER/WIND: Offshore wind is expected to pulse up a bit this weekend, strongest near the Nica border. Best chance for offshores all day will be northern areas, with PM sea breezes likely further south into the Nicoya Peninsula. Dry weather/sunny skies likely.
SPAC and NPAC have been a little more active recently, looks like some fun zone waves on the horizon. Check the full premium forecast for more details and the longer range outlook.
Friday PM Update
SHORT TERM FORECAST (Through Tuesday, March 4th)
Highlights: Mainly small surf to persist through Saturday, but new mix of SW and WNW swell begins to produce fun sized surf Sunday and early next week.
Wind/Weather: Central and southern Costa Rica will see a typical diurnal wind pattern through the next several days; calm to light/variable to locally light+ offshore wind for the early mornings, before a light to moderate onshore seabreeze develops over the late morning hours and into each afternoon. The Guanacaste region does look to see a little pulse in offshore NE flow over the next few days, strongest near the Nica border. The better chances for offshore flow all day will be north of Playa Negra, with the best chance near the Nica border. Afternoon onshores likely develop further south in the Guanacsate, especially the southern Nicoya Peninsula. NOTE - Good chance for lighter winds and an evening glass-off for many areas throughout Costa before dark through the weekend.
EXTENDED FORECAST (Wednesday, March 5th and beyond)
Highlights: New mix of fun zone WNW and SW swells due mid to late week; more waves on the horizon after that.
South Pacific Swell: The SSW swell from the short term forecast will ease into Wednesday, as new, small SSW swell (190-200) mixes in. This leaves mainly thigh-chest high surf for southern hemi only breaks for Wed 3/5, while top spots see some plus sets off best tides. However, the beginning of a new and slightly stronger SW (210-220) swell may start offering some plus sets later in the day.
Our new SW swell is associated with a fairly strong storm we saw develop under New Zealand on February 24. Look for this swell to peak over late Thursday and Friday March 6-7, with chest to head high surf for exposures and top spots seeing sets a foot or so overhead. This lingers on Saturday and then tapers off through Sunday and Monday 3/9-10.
Looking further ahead, long-range charts are showing more SPAC storm activity in the coming days, including a rather impressive storm in the South Central and SE Pacific mid to late next week. This actually appears to be enhanced by the current TD 16 near Fiji that is expected to intensify and track SE, before getting absorbed into non-tropical features further south. This would theoretically send up a new, stronger swell around March 13-15 but confidence is very low on this at the present time.
North Pacific Swell: The Surfline Forecast team has been tracking strong NPAC storms recently that look to send some WNW/NW swell down to exposed breaks for mid/late next week and another for next weekend. The first storm is approx. 500nm west of Southern California. This storm just recently spun out of another system further west. The combined effects of this recent and ongoing activity look to send Costa Rica a fun pulse of WNW swell for March 5-6, then slowly easing after that. This should get surf into the chest-head high zone for better exposed WNW breaks, possibly even bigger sets to standout breaks.
The next storm we are watching is well NW of Hawaii. This one had hurricane force winds yesterday and will send Hawaii an XXL swell for Sunday. Look for this to produce fun-moderate sized surf for better WNW exposed CR breaks for late next Friday 3/7, and especially the weekend of March 8-9 before easing after that. Stay tuned for further updates on these storms/swells.
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