CRNW Forecast of Friday, 2015-0227a

The weather is nice, and hot. Welcome reprieve from this year's winter!


The mornings Buoyweather forecast... we are approaching our arrival window. Based upon recent long-range forecasts from the premier forecasting site, I would expect our surf to look something like March 4-6, in the table below. Buoyweather only reports 2-letter swell directions, but the numbers reflect the SSW swell range. The periodicity is backing off quite a bit from the peak swell of Monday, March 2nd, to around 13-14 sec, still enough to deliver us energy in SR's Cove, but nothing approaching Outer Wash rhythms. However, forecasts are always subject to change!

  Model Cycle: 2015 FEB 27 06Z         
  Time Zone: GMT - 6 hours             
-------------------------------------------------------------
             SURF    SURF DIR   SEAS  PERIOD   WIND    WND/DIR
             (ft)       (deg)   (ft)   (sec)   (kts)     (deg)
            -------  --------  -----  ------  -------  -------
2/27   6am   2 -  5   SW 218    3.1    14.0    8 - 11   NE  33
2/27  12pm   2 -  5   SW 221    3.3    13.7    5 -  7  WNW 294
2/27   6pm   3 -  6   SW 223    3.7    13.7    5 -  7    S 183

2/28   6am   4 -  9   SW 213    4.8    16.4   16 - 22  ENE  59
2/28  12pm   4 -  8   SW 211    4.4    16.4    1 -  1  ESE 129
2/28   6pm   3 -  7   SW 218    4.0    15.5   11 - 14   SW 216

3/1    6am   4 -  8   SW 212    4.6    15.4   16 - 22   NE  43
3/1   12pm   4 -  8   SW 217    4.7    14.9   13 - 18  ENE  58
3/1    6pm   3 -  7   SW 214    4.2    14.4    5 -  8  ENE  75

3/2    6am   6 - 12   SW 215    5.3    20.4   18 - 24  ENE  50
3/2   12pm   5 - 10   SW 217    4.4    19.2    9 - 12  ENE  57
3/2    6pm   5 - 10   SW 215    4.6    18.9    4 -  6  ESE 126

3/3    6am   5 - 11   SW 216    5.6    17.5   17 - 23  ENE  57
3/3   12pm   4 -  9   SW 217    4.8    16.7    5 -  7  SSE 167
3/3    6pm   4 -  9   SW 216    4.6    16.4    8 - 11   SW 212

3/4    6am   4 -  8   SW 218    4.8    15.6   13 - 17  ENE  50
3/4   12pm   4 -  8   SW 217    4.5    15.4    7 - 10    S 182
3/4    6pm   3 -  7   SW 216    4.3    15.2    7 -  9  SSW 193

3/5    6am   3 -  6   SW 219    3.8    14.4   10 - 13   NE  42
3/5   12pm   3 -  6   SW 217    3.8    14.3    5 -  7    W 276
3/5    6pm   3 -  6   SW 221    3.8    13.7    9 - 12  SSW 203

3/6   12am   3 -  6   SW 221    3.8    13.5   14 - 19  ENE  51


Notice the huge drop-off in this morning's swell forecast from those 12-15 ft. ranges. Common for early reports to "over project." The bright jingle below is the reappearance of swell after Tue, March 10th, bottoming out.















A glimpse at the different swell sources and one can see that something keeps popping up. Oh, why I like this destination!