Not surprisingly the swell forecast for our first 5 days has declined from the large 10-12 ft. numbers but are still in a healthy 5 - 10 ft range, largest on Sat and Sun of our arrival dates. The storm formation and track is still immature so subject to change (usually mean decreasing a bit in size), but I remain optimistic.
Buoyweather is still outside our dates of interest.
Model Cycle: 2015 FEB 23 18Z
Time Zone: GMT - 6 hours
-------------------------------------------------------------
SURF SURF DIR SEAS PERIOD WIND WND/DIR
(ft) (deg) (ft) (sec) (kts) (deg)
------- -------- ----- ------ ------- -------
2/23 12pm 4 - 8 WSW 230 5.1 13.8 16 - 22 ENE 52
2/23 6pm 3 - 6 SW 223 4.3 13.5 11 - 14 ENE 63
2/24 6am 4 - 8 SW 221 5.4 12.8 17 - 23 ENE 52
2/24 12pm 3 - 6 SW 215 4.5 12.6 5 - 6 ESE 118
2/24 6pm 2 - 5 SSW 206 4.0 12.4 8 - 11 SW 218
2/25 6am 2 - 5 SSW 205 3.6 11.8 11 - 14 ENE 54
2/25 12pm 2 - 4 SSW 198 3.4 11.6 6 - 8 SW 211
2/25 6pm 3 - 6 SW 222 3.3 16.4 6 - 8 SW 225
2/26 6am 2 - 5 SW 222 3.1 15.4 7 - 9 NE 40
2/26 12pm 2 - 5 SW 218 3.1 15.0 5 - 7 W 265
2/26 6pm 2 - 5 SW 221 3.1 14.5 2 - 3 W 260
2/27 6am 2 - 5 SW 227 3.1 14.1 5 - 7 NNE 23
2/27 12pm 2 - 5 SW 221 3.2 13.7 8 - 10 WNW 287
2/27 6pm 2 - 5 SW 223 3.6 13.7 9 - 12 SW 213
2/28 6am 4 - 8 SW 213 4.4 16.4 15 - 21 ENE 54
2/28 12pm 4 - 8 SW 211 4.2 16.4 7 - 9 ENE 52
2/28 6pm 3 - 7 SW 218 3.8 15.5 6 - 8 S 186
3/1 6am 4 - 8 SW 212 4.6 15.4 16 - 22 ENE 51
3/1 12pm 3 - 7 SW 217 4.0 14.9 4 - 6 ESE 114
3/1 6pm 3 - 6 SW 214 3.9 14.4 7 - 10 SW 214
3/2 6am 5 - 11 SW 215 4.9 20.4 16 - 22 ENE 51
3/2 12pm 4 - 9 SW 216 4.1 19.1 3 - 4 ESE 121
Forecast of Mon, 2015-0223pm
SHORT TERM FORECAST (through Friday, February 27th):
Highlights:
Mid size SSW swell mix continues through the work week. Small to
locally fun size NW swell shows at well exposed spots.
South Pacific Swell:
Old SSW swell (210-195) eases on Tuesday but is still good for
waist-head high waves at the better breaks as top spots hit a foot
overhead on sets. Wednesday winds down into the waist-shoulder-head high
range for well exposed areas. New shot of fun zone SW swell joins in by
the second half of the week, for waist-chest-shoulder high surf on
Thursday and Friday.
Wind/Weather: Most areas through central and southern Costa Rica will see a diurnal
wind pattern, with calm to locally light offshore flow for the early to
mid mornings, before a moderate onshore sea-breeze gradually develops
into the afternoon. For northern Costa Rica look
moderate to locally strong offshore flow on Tuesday (strongest offshore
flow for the northern half of the Nicoya Peninsula towards the Nicaragua
border, lighter for the southern end). The offshores ease mid week.
EXTENDED FORECAST (Saturday, February 28th, and beyond):
Highlights: Solid Southern Hemi setting up for early next week.
South Pacific Swell:
SSW swell holds on Saturday with for waist-shoulder high surf at the
better breaks and plus sets for standouts. Those waves back down by
Sunday. There is a good looking fetch being set up in the central SPAC
now and that storm is scheduled to last for a few more days as it slides
further east towards South America. Under that scenario, a healthy,
long-period SSW(210-200) Southern Hemi swell starts to fill in next
Monday, March 2nd, steadily builds in through Tuesday, then tops out on
Wednesday with consistent overhead waves at lots of exposed spots. That
surf then gradually eases through the second half of the upcoming week.
Stay tuned for the latest updates on this still developing storm/swell
system.
The second table below is our focal point.
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