Monday, May 23, 2016

CRNW Forecast of 2016-0523p, Mon

Read the table shown below to the tune,  "Do you believe in magic..."  https://youtu.be/mDYNuD4CwlI

Then just forward dreamlike to when you start paddling out next Sunday, or Monday, morning to Ms. Rock... https://youtu.be/7-m9uG50mSw


  Model Cycle: 2016 MAY 23 12Z          
  Time Zone: GMT - 6 hours              
-------------------------------------------------------------
             SURF    SURF DIR   SEAS  PERIOD   WIND    WND/DIR
             (ft)       (deg)   (ft)   (sec)   (kts)     (deg)
            -------  --------  -----  ------  -------  -------
5/23   6am   3 -  6   SW 220    3.2    15.5    8 - 11   NE  34
5/23  12pm   3 -  6   SW 221    3.4    15.6    5 -  7  WSW 254
5/23   6pm   3 -  6   SW 221    3.5    16.2    3 -  5    S 171
 
5/24   6am   2 -  5   SW 221    3.2    14.6    5 -  7   NE  41
5/24  12pm   2 -  5   SW 221    3.3    14.8    5 -  6  WSW 252
5/24   6pm   3 -  6   SW 219    3.3    15.3    2 -  3  SSW 207
 
5/25   6am   2 -  5   SW 219    3.3    14.0    3 -  4  NNE  24
5/25  12pm   2 -  5   SW 218    3.3    14.0    7 -  9    W 279
5/25   6pm   2 -  5   SW 218    3.4    13.9    6 -  8   SW 210
 
5/26   6am   3 -  6  SSW 207    3.5    15.2    5 -  6  NNW 337
5/26  12pm   3 -  6  SSW 206    3.6    14.3    5 -  7  WNW 304
5/26   6pm   3 -  6  SSW 208    3.7    14.0    5 -  7  SSW 201
 
5/27   6am   3 -  6  SSW 201    3.7    14.3    3 -  4    N   4
5/27  12pm   3 -  6  SSW 201    3.7    13.9    3 -  5    W 273
5/27   6pm   3 -  6  SSW 200    3.8    13.6    5 -  7  SSW 196
 
5/28   6am   3 -  6   SW 218    3.9    14.1    3 -  4  ENE  78 SAT
5/28  12pm   3 -  6  SSW 209    4.1    13.4    4 -  5  WNW 294
5/28   6pm   3 -  6   SW 218    4.3    13.4    5 -  7  WSW 252
 
5/29   6am   3 -  6   SW 212    3.9    12.9    4 -  6    N 351 SUN
5/29  12pm   4 -  8   SW 216    4.0    18.1    4 -  6  WNW 303
5/29   6pm   4 -  9   SW 216    4.3    17.6    6 -  8    W 275
 
5/30  12am   4 -  8   SW 216    4.5    16.6    5 -  8    W 271 MON
5/30   6am   4 -  9   SW 216    4.7    16.4    5 -  7   NW 326
 
 
 

 
 
 

The Orange (7sec) and Red (12 sec) below are insignificant swell lines. 
Purple is a precursor 18 sec swell line on Sun, changing to 15 sec on following days.
The Blue is 15-16 sec.
 
 
 


NWCR Effective Monday afternoon
Wind/Weather: For Central and South CR look for wind ranging from calm to light/variable offshore in the early mornings, before trending onshore mid mornings. A light+/moderate onshore sea breeze prevails in the afternoons. 

For North CR look for morning offshore flow to range from light/moderate to locally breezy in northernmost CR over the next few days. The central and southern part of the Guanacaste Peninsula will see a sea breeze develop for the late morning and afternoon, while breaks in far north CR (near the Nica border) see highly variable winds ranging from light offshore to onshore in the afternoons. 

Most of the region will see partly cloudy skies each day. Scattered showers/thunderstorms are possible and keep in mind that passing or nearby showers and thunderstorms can temporarily affect/change local wind conditions. 

EXTENDED FORECAST (THURSDAY, May 26th, and beyond)   

South Pacific Swell: After a slow start to the week, the South Pacific looks to fire back up again with a few different storms in development which looks to send fun to locally solid swell to Central America. 

Next up, a small/compact storm out of the SE South Pacific, looks to whip up some SSW swell (210-195) and look to build in on Thursday and top out on Friday morning with sets up in the chest/shoulder high+ range. Note - potential for a few of the standouts to go bigger at times. 

Going further out, a large storm (960mb with adjacent 1020mb high pressure) out of the Central South Pacific with wind speeds of 30-35kts+, looks to push out a better SW (220-205) swell starting to build in as soon as Monday/Tuesday and peak Wednesday. This energy will slowly trend down into the first weekend of June. The trusted weather models are in good agreement of this storm but stay tuned as we continue to monitor this swell as it tracks towards Central America/Mexico. 


 

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