My first thought when seeing the forecast table this morning was this song:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mDYNuD4CwlI
Model Cycle: 2015 MAY 30 06Z
Time Zone: GMT - 6 hours
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SURF SURF DIR SEAS PERIOD WIND WND/DIR
(ft) (deg) (ft) (sec) (kts) (deg)
------- -------- ----- ------ ------- -------
5/30 6am 3 - 7 SW 218 4.6 14.3 6 - 8 NNE 14
5/30 12pm 3 - 7 SW 216 4.5 14.2 5 - 7 WNW 285
5/30 6pm 3 - 7 SW 218 4.4 13.9 4 - 5 WSW 256
5/31 6am 3 - 6 SW 216 4.2 13.8 6 - 8 NNE 17
5/31 12pm 3 - 6 SW 215 4.2 13.6 4 - 6 SW 223
5/31 6pm 3 - 6 SW 217 4.0 13.0 4 - 6 SW 221
6/1 6am 3 - 6 SW 212 3.8 14.6 2 - 3 N 351
6/1 12pm 3 - 6 SW 219 3.8 14.4 5 - 7 WNW 284
6/1 6pm 3 - 6 SW 224 3.9 14.4 5 - 7 WSW 231
6/2 6am 4 - 8 SW 210 4.1 17.6 4 - 6 NW 320
6/2 12pm 5 - 10 SW 223 4.3 20.1 2 - 3 SW 225
6/2 6pm 5 - 10 SW 223 4.4 20.0 6 - 8 SSW 197
6/3 6am 5 - 10 SW 223 4.6 18.7 2 - 3 ESE 124 WED
6/3 12pm 4 - 9 SW 223 4.6 17.7 5 - 7 WSW 236
6/3 6pm 4 - 9 SW 223 4.7 17.6 4 - 6 SW 217
6/4 6am 4 - 9 SW 223 4.6 16.5 1 - 2 ESE 104 THU
6/4 12pm 4 - 8 SW 223 4.5 16.3 4 - 6 WSW 251
6/4 6pm 4 - 8 SW 224 4.4 15.5 5 - 7 WSW 254
6/5 6am 3 - 7 SW 223 4.4 15.2 6 - 9 N 9 FRI
6/5 12pm 3 - 7 SW 224 4.4 14.5 6 - 8 NW 329
6/5 6pm 4 - 8 SW 224 4.8 14.4 6 - 8 W 263
6/6 12am 5 - 10 SW 217 5.1 17.4 2 - 3 ESE 128 SAT
Song: by the Lovin' Spoonful, "Do You Believe In Magic"
The Expert Surf Forecasting Co. Effective Friday evening
SHORT TERM FORECAST (through Monday, June 1st)
Highlights: Fun-size blend of holding SW swell and easing South swell on Saturday, which this energy will slowly fade Sunday and early next week.
South Pacific Swell: South swell (195-175°) will slowly fade over the weekend and into next week. Meanwhile, SW swell (235-210°) will hold on Saturday, before starting to ease Sunday and into next week. This overlapping mix of SW and South swells will offer surf mainly within the waist-head high zone at the better exposures this weekend. Standout SW magnets will produce occasional overhead sets on Saturday, which will be most prominent during the more favorable tides. NOTE - The Galapagos will partially shadow the SW energy for the southern half of Costa. These swells and the surf will slowly decrease over Sunday and early next week.
Tropics: Category 1 Hurricane Andres is way out off Mainland Mexico and tracking away from Central America. Unfortunately, this system is not expected to send very much if any swell to the region. Check out the NHC for more details.
EXTENDED FORECAST (Tuesday, June 2nd and beyond)
Highlights: New SW swell will gradually fill in next week, potentially topping out with good size over the 6th-8th.
South Pacific Swell: We have recently been watching the progress of a storm slowly track from the west to central South Pacific, which it looks to intensify some over the next few days while it continues to slowly push eastward. At this point, we're looking for SW swell (235-205°) to gradually fill in over the week; initially moving in over the 2nd-3rd, then picking up further over the 4th-6th. If this storm continues as forecast, then we'll see a good size SW swell top out over the 6th-8th, providing head-overhead surf at the better exposed breaks and some well overhead sets at standouts. Stay posted for updates, as this is still underway. NOTE - This swell will be strongest for the northern half of Costa, with partial shadowing by the Galapagos on the southern half.
Peanut Gallery Comments: This appears to be a recurring trend this past 1-2 yrs where we see large surf forecasted in day 7-17, but as those dates approach the surf declines. Where the hell is this 2-3 ft. surf for the Tue-Wed, June 2nd-3rd come from? Sure doesn't match up with the Buoyweather table above. Come on, guys! Is the swell 12 to 14 sec or is is it 17 to 20 sec?
Swell Info weighs in:
MSW shows 18 sec on Wed afternoon, 6/3/15, producing 4-6 ft surf:
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