Thursday, May 28, 2015

CRNW Forecast of Thu, 2015-0528

We are not inside the 7-day buoyweather forecast window!!! Today I will begin my packing process as the upcoming weekend and up through the departure date are chock full of extended family activities.

  Model Cycle: 2015 MAY 28 06Z         
  Time Zone: GMT - 6 hours             
-------------------------------------------------------------
             SURF    SURF DIR   SEAS  PERIOD   WIND    WND/DIR
             (ft)       (deg)   (ft)   (sec)   (kts)     (deg)
            -------  --------  -----  ------  -------  -------
5/28   6am   5 - 10  SSW 206    6.2    14.6   13 - 17  ENE  57
5/28  12pm   5 - 11   SW 215    5.6    16.6    3 -  5  SSE 160
5/28   6pm   5 - 10   SW 216    5.3    16.4    7 -  9    S 180

5/29   6am   4 -  9   SW 216    4.9    15.5    6 -  8   NE  46
5/29  12pm   4 -  8   SW 217    4.8    15.3    3 -  4  WNW 303
5/29   6pm   4 -  8   SW 218    4.8    15.1    3 -  4  WSW 236

5/30   6am   3 -  7   SW 218    4.6    14.3    5 -  8    N   6
5/30  12pm   3 -  7   SW 216    4.5    14.2    5 -  7  WNW 299
5/30   6pm   3 -  7   SW 218    4.4    13.9    4 -  6  WSW 252

5/31   6am   3 -  6   SW 217    4.2    13.8    5 -  7  NNW 331
5/31  12pm   3 -  6   SW 215    4.1    13.6    6 -  9    W 275
5/31   6pm   3 -  6   SW 217    4.0    13.0    3 -  4  WSW 238

6/1    6am   3 -  6   SW 212    3.8    14.6    3 -  4   NW 323
6/1   12pm   3 -  6   SW 219    3.8    14.4    5 -  8  WNW 287
6/1    6pm   3 -  6   SW 224    3.9    14.4    6 -  8  WSW 230

6/2    6am   4 -  8   SW 210    4.1    17.6    5 -  7  NNW 336
6/2   12pm   5 - 10   SW 223    4.3    20.1    2 -  3  WSW 255
6/2    6pm   5 - 10   SW 223    4.4    20.0    4 -  5   SW 210

6/3    6am   5 - 10   SW 223    4.6    18.7    3 -  4  ENE  62
6/3   12pm   4 -  9   SW 223    4.5    17.7    2 -  3  WSW 230
6/3    6pm   4 -  9   SW 223    4.6    17.6    5 -  7   SW 221

6/4   12am   4 -  9   SW 223    4.5    16.7    1 -  1  SSW 207




Effective Wednesday evening

SHORT TERM FORECAST (through Sunday, May 31st)
Highlights: New, overlapping South and SW swells will show for the second half of the week.
South Pacific Swell: Previous storm activity off the southern tip of South America and over the Southwest Pacific will deliver an overlapping pair of swells (South 195-175° and SW 235-210°) for the second half of the week, which are building in today. This swell-mix tops out Thursday and holds fairly steady through Saturday, offering chest-head high+ surf at many of the good exposures. Standout spots will produce occasional overhead sets, which will be most prominent during the more favorable tides. NOTE - The Galapagos will partially shadow the SW energy for the southern half of Costa.

Wind/Weather: Most areas will continue to see a typical diurnal wind pattern through the next several days. Look for calm to very light/variable to locally light+ offshore wind for the early to mid mornings (depending on the specific spot). Northernmost CR will see light+ to moderate offshore flow in the mornings. Then a moderate onshore seabreeze gradually develops over the late morning hours and into each afternoon for all areas. Good chance for the wind to back off in the evenings for a glassoff for many locations before dark, especially the more sheltered/tucked away spots.

EXTENDED FORECAST (Monday, June 1st and beyond)
Highlights: The first couple days of next week will be on the small side, before a nice long run of fun size SW swell moves in through the middle and end of the week.
South Pacific Swell: We have recently been watching the progress of a storm over the Southwest Pacific, which it looks to remain intact over the next few days while slowly tracking eastward. At this point, a new SW swell (235-205°) will fill in over June 2nd-3rd, topping out in the PM on the 3rd and holding through the 4th-5th with chest-head high occasional overhead sets at well exposed breaks. NOTE - This swell will be strongest for the northern half of Costa, with partial shadowing by the Galapagos on the southern half. Models indicate that this storm may become better aimed at Central America as a whole over the next few days. Therefore, we may see an increase in SW swell over the weekend, with Sun/Mon the 7th-8th as the strongest days. Stay posted for updates, as this is still underway.







Have wax on-hand for application on the afternoon of June 3rd!!!



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