CRNW Forecast of 2016-0218a Thu

Playing around with swell direction shadowing below. NNE/short period is included in bad swell color coding. 
 
In The Shadows.  Margins of the Shadows.  Good Exposures.

  Model Cycle: 2016 FEB 18 06Z          
  Time Zone: GMT - 6 hours              
-------------------------------------------------------------
             SURF    SURF DIR   SEAS  PERIOD   WIND    WND/DIR
             (ft)       (deg)   (ft)   (sec)   (kts)     (deg)
            -------  --------  -----  ------  -------  -------
2/18   6am   3 -  7  SSW 207    4.7    13.6   14 - 19  ENE  51
2/18  12pm   4 -  8  SSW 206    5.2    13.4   13 - 18   NE  43
2/18   6pm   4 -  9  SSW 207    5.8    13.2   20 - 27  ENE  56
 
2/19   6am   2 -  5  NNE  22    6.2     7.3   19 - 26  ENE  51
2/19  12pm   2 -  5  NNE  27    6.3     7.8   18 - 25  ENE  51
2/19   6pm   2 -  5   NE  37    6.9     6.1   22 - 30  ENE  56
 
2/20   6am   2 -  5   NE  36    6.9     6.4   20 - 28  ENE  55
2/20  12pm   2 -  5   NE  32    5.7     7.9   13 - 18  ENE  51
2/20   6pm   5 - 10   SW 212    5.4    15.6   19 - 26  ENE  52
 
2/21   6am   2 -  5  NNE  21    5.7     7.4   17 - 24  ENE  55
2/21  12pm   4 -  8   SW 212    4.6    14.8    7 -  9   NE  43
2/21   6pm   3 -  6   SW 213    3.7    14.7    7 - 10  ENE  55
 
2/22   6am   3 -  7   SW 212    4.3    13.9   13 - 18  ENE  59
2/22  12pm   3 -  6   SW 216    3.7    13.9    4 -  6  WSW 258
2/22   6pm   3 -  7  SSW 190    3.7    17.6   11 - 15   SW 215
 
2/23   6am   3 -  7  SSW 191    3.8    16.3    7 -  9  ENE  52
2/23  12pm   3 -  7  SSW 190    3.9    15.5    8 - 11    W 266
2/23   6pm   3 -  7  SSW 192    3.9    15.2    7 -  9  WSW 238
 
2/24   6am   3 -  6  SSW 192    3.7    14.2    7 - 10  NNE  21
2/24  12pm   2 -  5  SSW 192    3.6    13.6    9 - 12  WNW 283
2/24   6pm   2 -  5  SSW 193    3.7    13.3    9 - 12  WSW 251 

Last year the longer-range forecasts were rather unreliable predictors, over- and under-estimating

the surf. Overall the trend appears to reasonable.