Model Cycle: 2016 FEB 20 06Z
Time Zone: GMT - 6 hours
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SURF SURF DIR SEAS PERIOD WIND WND/DIR
(ft) (deg) (ft) (sec) (kts) (deg)
------- -------- ----- ------ ------- -------
2/20 6am 3 - 6 NNE 29 7.1 7.8 18 - 25 ENE 53
2/20 12pm 2 - 5 NE 35 6.0 8.3 11 - 15 ENE 67
2/20 6pm 4 - 9 SW 211 4.9 15.6 10 - 14 ENE 71
2/21 6am 4 - 8 SW 212 4.9 14.9 14 - 19 ENE 51
2/21 12pm 4 - 8 SW 212 4.6 14.8 6 - 8 ENE 50
2/21 6pm 3 - 6 SW 213 3.9 14.7 7 - 10 ENE 62
2/22 6am 3 - 7 SW 212 4.4 13.9 13 - 18 ENE 55 MON
2/22 12pm 3 - 6 SW 216 3.8 13.9 5 - 6 SW 219
2/22 6pm 3 - 7 SSW 190 3.5 17.6 8 - 11 SW 227
2/23 6am 3 - 7 SSW 191 3.8 16.3 8 - 11 NE 45 TUE
2/23 12pm 3 - 7 SSW 190 3.8 15.5 8 - 10 W 275
2/23 6pm 3 - 6 SSW 192 3.8 15.2 4 - 5 W 266
2/24 6am 3 - 6 SSW 192 3.6 14.2 6 - 8 NE 32 WED
2/24 12pm 2 - 5 SSW 192 3.5 13.6 9 - 12 WNW 302
2/24 6pm 2 - 5 SSW 193 3.5 13.3 5 - 8 WNW 294
2/25 6am 3 - 7 SSW 203 3.6 16.6 10 - 14 NNE 22
2/25 12pm 4 - 8 SSW 197 4.2 16.5 10 - 14 N 353
2/25 6pm 4 - 9 SSW 199 4.9 15.7 15 - 20 ENE 67
2/26 6am 5 - 10 SSW 201 5.6 15.3 18 - 24 NE 47
2/26 12pm 5 - 10 SSW 200 5.8 14.7 16 - 22 NE 47
2/26 6pm 4 - 9 SSW 202 5.5 14.5 14 - 19 ENE 68
2/27 12am 5 - 10 SSW 203 6.0 14.8 18 - 24 ENE 52
Today's Surf Height: 2-3ft
3ft at 12s SSW (193°) | 1ft at 14s WNW (300°) | 1ft at 9s WNW (302°)
Live Wind: 25 kts E (90°)
SATURDAY: SSW swell continues, but eases, with waist-chest high surf at exposed
breaks. Standouts see sets to shoulder high.
SUNDAY: Surf continues to slowly trend down as primary SSW swell sets up waist
high waves at exposed breaks, with sets to chest high at standouts. Small NW swell
builds with occasional waist high sets.
EXTENDED FORECAST (Tuesday, February 23rd, and beyond)
Highlights: Fun size SSW swell Tue/Wed, with a larger SSW to S swell for Fri/Sat.
Enhanced NW swells look likely for the very end of the month and the beginning of March.
South Pacific Swell: The South Pacific storm track is slowly becoming more active and we
have a couple of fun SSW to S pulses on track for the upcoming week, both from storms
off the south end of South America.
The first will build through the day on Tuesday, continue Wednesday and then ease
Thursday. For Tuesday PM and Wednesday look for waist-shoulder high+ surf at
exposed breaks, while good spots see sets to head high.
A larger SSW swell looks likely for Fri/Sat (slow build Thur, easing trend Sun) from a
storm now off the south end of South America. So far this storm appears to behaving
similar to model guidance and we expect to see fun chest-head high surf for Fri/Sat
the 26th-27th at exposed breaks. Standout spots may even push a bit overhead. Stay
tuned, we will refine this forecast over the next few days.
Beyond that it looks like smaller, but still possibly fun size, SW swell will move into Central
America in early March. Stay tuned.
SolSpot says...
Smaller surf through the start of next week. Better S energy arrives Tuesday and builds through the end of the week
Central America and Mainland Mexico Short-Range Surf Forecast
Smaller leftovers in the water today, but there should be a little bit of S (180-190), SSW-SW (205-215) and NW (295-310) combo arriving over the weekend building to a small peak early next week. A more moderate sized run of S (180-195) is due to pick up on Tuesday, with a better overlapping pulse arriving next Thursday. Nothing to get overly stoked about, but should mean some fun surf in the water later next week.The middle to second half of next week we’re looking at a slightly more consistent and slightly bigger run of overlapping S (180-195) swells. The first is looking a little weaker, arriving early Tuesday and building to a 2-3 foot peak with 14-second periods on Wednesday. Not huge, but enough to bump the surf up into the waist to head high range along the exposed south facing coast. Better standouts/deepwater spots could see some head high to overhead sets rolling through occasionally during the peak, maybe even a little bigger for southern Costa Rica and West Panama. That swell is going to slowly back off Thursday, but will be followed up by a second stronger swell arriving with 17 to 19-second periods mid to late Thursday.
South Pacific Swell Forecast
Beyond that, the long-range forecast models quiet down again. No notable swell makers within a confident range of time. There are a couple smaller background pulses from the SSW-SW likely due for the first week of March, but at this time of the year, a lot can change past 72 hours out. I’ll hopefully have a more detailed forecast for you on Tuesday.
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