CRNW Forecast and Rpt of Thu, 2016-0611

Dawn Patrol Report: Best all-around surf conditions of the trip thus far. Cloudy skies began to show glimmers of blue to the east and the western horizion at 530a and the morning improved with beautiful blue skies and scattered clouds. Winds were a light offshore for our entire 3 hr session with waves in the 3 to 7 ft range. With no more WNW interference the SW swell worked its magic as it does at the Rock. I caught several rides between Rod Rock Southside and Lil' Ala Moana. My first ride of the day was one of those and the best all around wave of the trip thus far. Tim started out slow but finished strong and Terry scored several gems as well.

Dinner last night was here at the guest houses with Beth sharing the cooking responsibilities with the expert chef and owner. Cucumber gazpacho, rouladen, mashed potatoes, and red cabbage. Nothing was ordinary with any of these treats. Finished up with pineapple cake (like a pie) and homemade ice cream.


  Model Cycle: 2015 JUN 11 12Z         
  Time Zone: GMT - 7 hours             
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             SURF    SURF DIR   SEAS  PERIOD   WIND    WND/DIR
             (ft)       (deg)   (ft)   (sec)   (kts)     (deg)
            -------  --------  -----  ------  -------  -------
6/11  11am   2 -  5   SW 214    3.9    12.7    2 -  2    N 359
6/11   5pm   2 -  5   SW 214    3.8    12.7    5 -  7  WNW 309
6/11  11pm   2 -  5   SW 214    3.7    12.5    5 -  7  ENE  69

6/12  11am   2 -  4   SW 213    3.4    12.1    1 -  1   SE 135
6/12   5pm   2 -  5  SSW 206    3.3    13.4    5 -  7  SSW 198
6/12  11pm   2 -  5  SSW 203    3.2    13.5    5 -  6   SE 141

6/13  11am   2 -  4  SSW 195    3.1    13.0    3 -  4  WSW 253
6/13   5pm   2 -  4  SSW 193    3.1    13.1    4 -  6  SSW 208
6/13  11pm   2 -  4  SSW 194    3.1    12.6    3 -  4    E  86

6/14  11am   2 -  5   SW 229    3.7    11.6    2 -  2  WNW 286
6/14   5pm   2 -  5  WSW 248    4.0    11.3    5 -  6   SW 218
6/14  11pm   2 -  5  WSW 258    4.2    11.8    3 -  4   SW 225

6/15  11am   2 -  5    W 263    4.1    10.9    2 -  2   SW 213
6/15   5pm   2 -  5    W 262    4.1    10.5    7 -  9    S 183
6/15  11pm   3 -  6   SW 222    4.1    12.8    2 -  4  ESE 114

6/16  11am   3 -  7  SSW 190    4.1    15.3    4 -  5  WSW 258
6/16   5pm   3 -  7  SSW 203    4.1    14.6    4 -  6  SSW 203
6/16  11pm   3 -  6  SSW 201    4.1    14.0    0 -  0    S 182

6/17  11am   3 -  6  SSW 195    4.4    12.8    3 -  4  WNW 294
6/17   5pm   3 -  6  SSW 198    4.4    12.3    6 -  8   SW 218
6/17  11pm   3 -  6  SSW 198    4.4    11.5    3 -  5  WSW 238

Effective Wednesday afternoon

SHORT TERM FORECAST (through Saturday, June 13th)
Highlights: Fading SW swell over the next few days. Keeping a close eye on the tropics.
South Pacific Swell: The current/fading SW swell (235-205°) will continue to gradually back down over the rest of the week. Thursday will still offer chest-head high sets at the better exposed breaks, with occasional slightly overhead waves at select magnets (mainly through the northern half of Costa). By Saturday, surf drops to mainly waist high or less, with occasional slightly bigger waves/peaks here and there. NOTE - This swell is strongest for the northern half of Costa Rica, with partial shadowing by the Galapagos on the southern half.

Tropics: We are keeping a close eye on tropical depression 3, currently located out to the SSW of Puerto Escondido (more details at the NHC). Expect this system to develop further through the next couple days, potentially becoming a hurricane by Friday while nearing the coast of Mexico. At this point, this is looking very likely to send over some modest shorter period westerly swell that will gradually rise up over the next few days, stay tuned for Friday's update and the forecast boxes above.

Wind/Weather: Most areas will see a diurnal wind pattern through the next several days. Look for calm to very light/variable to locally light+ offshore wind for the early to mid mornings (depending on the specific spot). Then a moderate onshore seabreeze gradually develops over the late morning hours and into each afternoon for all areas. Good chance for the wind to back off in the evenings for a glassoff for many locations before dark, especially the more sheltered/tucked away spots.

Most of the region will range from partly to mostly cloudy skies for much of each day. There is a lot of instability in the region right now, so scattered showers and T-storms are imminent throughout. Also, there will likely be periods where the wind will be swirling around, changing constantly, especially with local storms nearing your location. Check out Surfline's high-res wind model for frequent updates.

EXTENDED FORECAST (Sunday, June 14th and beyond)

South Pacific Swell: At this point, surf is looking mainly around waist high or less for Sunday and early next week (14th-16th), off a very small blend of background South-SW swells. Likely some inconsistent waves/peaks up to belly-chest high at best at top spots during the better tides.

Further out - nothing major lining up on the long-range radar right now, just modest to locally fun-size SPAC pulses; staying primarily within the waist-shoulder high zone for top spots.
1) Overlapping South and SW swells for the 17th-18th, initially filling in over the 16th.
2) Potentially similar size overlapping South and SW swells for the 20th-25th, initially filling in over the 19th. Stay posted for updates, as most of those pulses are still pending development.