Friday, May 30, 2014

CRNW Forecast of Fri, 2014-0530a

Positive forecast continues with this morning's Buoyweather update.

  Model Cycle: 2014 MAY 30 06Z         
  Time Zone: GMT - 6 hours             
-------------------------------------------------------------
             SURF    SURF DIR   SEAS  PERIOD   WIND    WND/DIR
             (ft)       (deg)   (ft)   (sec)   (kts)     (deg)
            -------  --------  -----  ------  -------  -------
5/30  12pm   4 -  9  SSW 208    4.7    16.6    4 -  6  WSW 248
5/30   6pm   4 -  8  SSW 208    4.6    16.3    5 -  7  WSW 233

5/31   6am   4 -  8  SSW 209    4.5    15.6    2 -  3  NNW 339 SAT
5/31  12pm   4 -  8  SSW 207    4.6    15.4    6 -  9  WSW 259
5/31   6pm   4 -  8  SSW 206    4.9    14.8    6 -  8  WSW 243

6/1    6am   5 - 10  SSW 198    5.2    16.4    1 -  2    N 352 SUN
6/1   12pm   4 -  9  SSW 195    5.2    15.6    4 -  6  WSW 251
6/1    6pm   5 - 10  SSW 197    5.5    15.3    5 -  7    W 268

6/2    6am   5 - 11  SSW 191    6.1    16.1    1 -  2   NE  30 MON
6/2   12pm   5 - 11  SSW 191    6.1    15.4    3 -  5  WNW 291
6/2    6pm   5 - 10  SSW 195    6.1    14.8    6 -  9  WNW 281

6/3    6am   7 - 15  SSW 194    6.4    20.3    5 -  7  NNW 340 TUE
6/3   12pm   7 - 14  SSW 195    6.4    19.2    7 -  9  WNW 299
6/3    6pm   7 - 14  SSW 195    6.5    18.6   10 - 13  WNW 297

6/4    6am   6 - 13  SSW 197    6.5    17.4    8 - 10   NW 317 WED
6/4   12pm   6 - 12  SSW 197    6.3    16.6    7 - 10    W 276
6/4    6pm   6 - 12  SSW 200    6.1    16.4    7 - 10  WSW 259

6/5    6am   5 - 10  SSW 202    5.4    15.5    2 -  3    W 266 THU
6/5   12pm   4 -  9  SSW 204    5.0    15.3    6 -  8    W 265
6/5    6pm   4 -  8  SSW 205    4.9    15.1    6 -  8    W 265

6/6   12am   3 -  7  SSW 207    4.6    14.5    1 -  1  WNW 290 FRI

Thursday, May 29, 2014

CRNW Forecast of Thu, 2014-0529a

What can I say? Buoyweather is certainly calling for "Surfs Up!"  Check out that 20 sec period blip on June 3rd ;)

 Model Cycle: 2014 MAY 29 06Z         
 Time Zone: GMT - 6 hours             
-------------------------------------------------------------
             SURF    SURF DIR   SEAS  PERIOD   WIND    WND/DIR
             (ft)       (deg)   (ft)   (sec)   (kts)     (deg)
            -------  --------  -----  ------  -------  -------
5/29   6am   4 -  9   SW 218    5.1    15.2    4 -  6  ENE  65
5/29  12pm   4 -  9   SW 217    5.1    15.2    3 -  5  WSW 256
5/29   6pm   4 -  8   SW 218    5.1    14.6    6 -  8   SW 226

5/30   6am   4 -  8   SW 215    4.8    14.2    2 -  3    N 352
5/30  12pm   4 -  9  SSW 208    4.7    16.6    4 -  6    W 272
5/30   6pm   4 -  8  SSW 208    4.6    16.3    6 -  8   SW 229

5/31   6am   4 -  8  SSW 209    4.5    15.6    3 -  4   NW 312 SAT
5/31  12pm   4 -  8  SSW 207    4.7    15.4    6 -  8  WSW 254
5/31   6pm   4 -  8  SSW 206    4.9    14.8    6 -  8  WSW 250

6/1    6am   5 - 10  SSW 198    5.1    16.4    2 -  3    N 350 SUN
6/1   12pm   4 -  9  SSW 195    5.2    15.6    5 -  7  WSW 247
6/1    6pm   4 -  9  SSW 197    5.3    15.3    6 -  8  WSW 242

6/2    6am   5 - 10  SSW 191    5.5    16.1    1 -  2   NE  33 MON
6/2   12pm   5 - 10  SSW 191    5.7    15.4    3 -  4    W 271
6/2    6pm   5 - 10  SSW 195    5.9    14.8    5 -  8  WSW 238

6/3    6am   7 - 15  SSW 194    6.2    20.3    1 -  1    S 181 TUE
6/3   12pm   7 - 14  SSW 195    6.2    19.2    6 -  8  WSW 234
6/3    6pm   6 - 13  SSW 195    6.1    18.5    6 -  8  WSW 231

6/4    6am   6 - 13  SSW 198    6.4    17.3    3 -  4   NW 319 WED
6/4   12pm   6 - 12  SSW 198    6.5    16.6    2 -  2    W 277
6/4    6pm   6 - 12  SSW 201    6.5    16.4    4 -  6  WSW 256

6/5   12am   6 - 12  SSW 203    6.6    16.2    1 -  2    N 356 THU


I can easily live with these numbers:


SolSpot.com is still much more pessimistic for Sat & Sun, but have increased Friday's size from yesterday's 2-3 ft forecast.


Early evening update:

Wednesday, May 28, 2014

CRNW Forecast of Wed, 2014-0528p

The long-range forecast and the short-range which is now in our surfing window of arrival.





Wednesday evening update


SHORT TERM FORECAST (Through Sunday, May 31st)  
Highlights:  SW swell eases into the second half of the week, fresh Southern Hemi shows for the weekend.  

South Pacific Swell:  A storm that tracked away from New Zealand cranked out the solid SW (220-210) groundswell which has been rolling in this week. That swell continues into Thursday for easily overhead waves at many exposed spots. Friday will be fading as the swell is passed its peak then, but there will still be plenty of head high to overhead surf. Waves hold around the head high mark for Saturday as old SW swell continues to wind down and a new, very broad range blend of  SW-SSW (220-190) Southern Hemis gradually join in. That swell mix fills in a bit more for Sunday.

Wind/Weather: Costa Rica will see primarily a diurnal wind pattern Thursday, with light/variable to locally light offshore wind for the early mornings, before a moderate S/SW seabreeze develops over the morning hours and into each afternoon. The Nicoya Peninsula will see offshore flow in the mornings; light to moderate in some areas, strongest toward the Nica border where offshores hang on for most of the day, while other areas see a light+moderate seabreeze in the afternoons. Rising SSE winds due for the Nicoya Peninsula by Friday afternoon and on Saturday, as areas further south maintain the diurnal pattern. Stay tuned.

EXTENDED FORECAST (Monday, June 2nd and beyond)  
Highlights: More Southern Hemi moves in by next week.

South Pacific Swell:  Southern Hemi swell becomes more southerly, (205-190) going into next week thanks to storm activity off South America. The healthy, long-period swell mix steadily fills into exposures on Monday, June 2nd, then maxes out on Tuesday/Wednesday with more easily overhead+ surf at lots of spots and double overhead++ stuff for the better breaks. Those waves taper off into the second half of the upcoming week. Next solid round of Southern Hemi swell scheduled to peak around the 9th-10th of June. Stay tuned for the latest updates on that storm/swell system as it develops.

The folks at Solspot.com have moderately increased their forecast for the upcoming 5 days: