CR NW Forecast of Fri, 2014-0523p

I am looking forward to entering into the 7-day swell/surf forecasting window for Buoyweather! In the meantime it looks like the surf will not be gargantuan and the Bonzer could be in-play the first afternoon and maybe a quick session the next morning after early coffee.

6/1/2014	6/2/2014
H0511 8.6	H0552 8.4
L1107 1.0	L1149 1.3
H1720 8.7	H1802 8.3
L2330 0.4

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Friday evening forecast

SHORT TERM FORECAST (Through Monday, May 26th)  
Highlights:  SSW for the weekend into next week.   

South Pacific Swell:   The current round of SW (225-210) groundswell peaks on Saturday, with lots of well exposed spots in consistent head+ high surf and better sets. Slow fade on Sunday as the swell eases, but there will still be plenty of fun waves left through the end of the weekend. The trend towards gradually decreasing size for next Monday as the old swell winds down.

Wind/Weather: Costa Rica will see primarily a diurnal wind pattern through the weekend into early next week. Look for light/variable to locally light offshore wind for the early mornings, before a moderate S/SW seabreeze develops over the morning hours and into each afternoon. The Nicoya Peninsula will see offshore flow in the mornings; light to moderate in some areas, strongest toward the Nica border, followed by a light+moderate seabreeze in the afternoons. 

EXTENDED FORECAST (Tuesday, May 27th and beyond)   Highlights: More SW groundswell moves in for next week.

South Pacific Swell:  Continued storm action tracking away from New Zealand is cranking out more southern hemi swell for the upcoming week. Fresh, long-period SW (220-210) groundswell starts to move in late next Monday, fills in through Tuesday, then tops out on Wednesday, 28th, with easily overhead surf at exposures and double overhead+ stuff at the better breaks. Those heights hold into Thursday then ease into the following weekend.

Forecast charts show potential for a fresh mix of SSW-S groundswell filling in over next weekend, 31st-1st, then back down into the middle of that following week. Stay tuned for updates on that storm/swell system as it develops. 

In other news from http://solspot.com/ by Austin Gendron
(Friday) 5.23.14

Central America and Mainland Mexico Short-Range Surf Forecast

Overlapping SSW-SW (200-220) long-period swell will carry us through the weekend with plenty of decent head high to several feet overhead surf at standouts throughout Central America and Mainland Mexico.


The mix of swell should mean some good variety and distribution of surf for most areas. The really good deepwater spots that like longer-period SSW swells, will see waves in the well-overhead to double-overhead range with occasional near triple-overhead faces on some of the larger sets.

A larger SSW-SW swell (200-220) arrives Sunday and will build through Monday with extremely long-periods. The swell is supposed to show up under the radar Sunday the 25th with 22-23 second forerunners building to a peak the middle of next week (May 27-29) with 5 to 6 feet of deepwater.  That should push the average SSW-SW exposures into the overhead to well-overhead surf range with  standouts and deepwater spots seeing even bigger sets.  The swell peaks Wednesday and Thursday before slowly backing off into the weekend.
There may also be a  mix of mid to long-period WSW-S (190-250) hurricane swell for Mainland Mexico arriving Wednesday and Thursday crossing up the bigger swell adding some shape and size to the exposed breaks through the second half of next week as well.  Read more about that in the tropical discussion.

Long-Range Surf forecast Central America and Mainland Mexico

South Pacific Swell Forecast

The longer-range charts continue to show an active pattern but not quite as intense as what we saw over the past weekend.  The jet stream is split near New Zealand and that’s keeping storms close to the ice shelf with a little bit of mid-latitude activity present as well.

The southern track holds closer to Antarctica with a fairly zonal path, which will keep a big chunk of the swell energy moving towards Chile, while Central America and Mainland Mexico get a smaller dose that spins off of those storms.  The nice thing is that it’s a series of fronts that will generate overlapping swells in the moderate size range from the SSW-SW (200-220)

The first in the series is expected to arrive through the day Thursday the 29th, adding more energy on the 30th that will mix with the easing SSW-SW from earlier in the week.  This should help maintain head high to several feet overhead surf at standouts through the end of the week.  The overlapping pulses will then continue to arrive over the following few days, with the last one due for the 3rd.  The combination of energy and mixed periods should mean a fairly consistent run of surf through next weekend and the following week.

High pressure in the Central South Pacific is going to force a lot of that storm energy down towards Antarctica as it passes south of Tahiti and French Polynesia over the weekend, but a window south of Easter Island and the Galapagos will allow it to jet northward off the coast of Chile midweek.  The current model runs are suggesting this could reignite the flame and help generate strong southerly winds focused up towards Central America.  If this happens we could be looking at a more solid S-SSW (180-200) swell for around the 4th/5th of June.  It’s still too early to get a good reading on this, but definitely worth watching over the next few days for any changes.