Tuesday, March 17, 2015

CRNW Forecast and Report, Tue, 2015-0317 noon


Was scared sh*tless this morning before paddling out. The two legged creature with an abnormal waveriding vehicle walked across my view of the ocean as I started gearing up. The waveriding device was one of those over-sized things, about 9 ft x 30 in x 6 in., plus a mechanism for holding in one's hands to propel the device forward.Then the creature put the device down, turned around and looked at me. It peered out upon the ocean as if attempting to determine the best method to enter the ocean. Then it would look back at me with that look that made me feel like the hunted. I dithered a good extra 5 minutes or so hoping the creature would find me of little interest and move on.

It was not to happen so I made my move over some shallow reef instead of the deeper channel. No looking back... did not want the creature to stalk me. After reaching The Wash area I looked back shoreward and saw the creature way inside but not attempting to paddle out. Finally the rest of the creatures family pack showed up and they just frolicked in the way inside. Then after a half hour they disappeared.

Whew, no apparent threat by the Creature Masses at this time!



Swell filled-in overnight. Nothing huge but fun 3-5 ft with some 6 ft drops at the Rock Southside. I caught one nice one at Lil Ala Moana. Tons of waves for two hours. Party cloudy skies seem to be the patter the past few days after clear blues. Papagayos alternated between strong and light, never knowing which would be the case when catching and riding a wave. Water stayed generally cooler this morning and the winds made it seem even chillier. Really likeing the Bonzer at this spot.

Shared coffee and light ocean viewing with Griz and Rick before we all ate breakfast and shortly thereafter, at 815a, the shoved off to the airport. Will miss them!!! Ana will miss Rick!!!



  Model Cycle: 2015 MAR 17 06Z         
  Time Zone: GMT - 6 hours             
-------------------------------------------------------------
             SURF    SURF DIR   SEAS  PERIOD   WIND    WND/DIR
             (ft)       (deg)   (ft)   (sec)   (kts)     (deg)
            -------  --------  -----  ------  -------  -------
3/17   6am   5 - 11  SSW 196    5.6    16.4   18 - 25  ENE  52
3/17  12pm   4 -  8  SSW 196    4.6    15.7    4 -  6  ENE  72
3/17   6pm   3 -  7  SSW 196    4.2    15.4    5 -  7  SSW 195

3/18   6am   4 -  8  SSW 196    4.8    14.7   15 - 20   NE  49
3/18  12pm   3 -  7  SSW 196    4.3    14.5    1 -  2    W 271
3/18   6pm   3 -  6  SSW 196    4.0    14.3    8 - 11  SSW 209

3/19   6am   3 -  6  SSW 195    3.8    13.7    8 - 11  ENE  57
3/19  12pm   3 -  6  SSW 195    3.7    13.5    6 -  8    W 276
3/19   6pm   2 -  5  SSW 194    3.7    13.3    3 -  4  WSW 236

3/20   6am   2 -  5  SSW 194    3.6    12.7    9 - 12   NE  42
3/20  12pm   3 -  7  WSW 256    3.6    17.6    7 -  9  WSW 254
3/20   6pm   3 -  7  WSW 252    3.5    17.1    2 -  4  SSW 209

3/21   6am   3 -  7  WSW 238    3.6    17.3    8 - 11   NE  44
3/21  12pm   3 -  7  WSW 238    3.7    16.7    7 - 10  WSW 249
3/21   6pm   3 -  7  WSW 232    3.9    16.3    3 -  5   SW 219

3/22   6am   3 -  7   SW 228    4.0    15.4    7 -  9   NE  35
3/22  12pm   3 -  7   SW 228    4.1    15.1    8 - 11  WNW 280
3/22   6pm   3 -  7   SW 226    4.3    15.0    5 -  7  WSW 255

3/23   6am   3 -  7   SW 223    4.5    14.4    9 - 12   NE  40
3/23  12pm   3 -  7   SW 221    4.6    14.4    6 -  8  WSW 245
3/23   6pm   4 -  9  SSW 191    4.8    16.5    5 -  7   SW 222






Effective Monday afternoon

SHORT TERM FORECAST (through Friday, March 20th):
Highlights: Fun size SSW swell.

South Pacific Swell: A fresh round of long-period S-SSW (205-180) swell rises through Tuesday then peaks on Wednesday/Thursday. Meanwhile, former Cyclone Pam pushed out a very 'westerly' pulse of WSW swell (270-255) that will blend in with it.

After all is said and done, this week will see surf mainly range from chest high 1-2' overhead at good exposures. Standout spots will produce occasional larger sets, especially Wed/Thurs when the southern hemi swell is strongest.

EXTENDED FORECAST (Saturday, March 21st, and beyond):
Highlights: Plenty of Southern hemi swell's due to roll in through the end of the month. Steeply angled NW pulses continue to show for exposed areas.

South Pacific Swell: Saturday through Monday (the 23rd) will see a blend of old/fading South swell and WSW swell, along with some new/modest scale SSW swell (205-185). That will maintain fun zone surf in the waist-shoulder-head high zone, while standout breaks go a little overhead on sets.

Beyond that, we could see a couple pretty solid Southern hemi swell's to close out the month as the SPAC is due to really flare up this week. New SSW-South swell (200-180) lines up for the 24th-26th, which could be followed up by a tropically influenced SSW swell (220-200) over the 26th-31st. More details later this week, once we see these storms actually develop.




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