Saturday, March 7, 2015

CRNW Forecast of Sat, 2015-0307a

Good trip up to Philadelphia yesterday to David's home and to JFK this morning. TSA Pre-Check went smoothly but for some reason my old Docksiders set off the alarms and then my carry-on bag required checking--I thought that be related to the Quart Bag of Mini Moo's! Nope, it was my surge protector. Whew!

Forecasts indicate we will be able to ride some waves late this afternoon :)


  Model Cycle: 2015 MAR 07 06Z         
  Time Zone: GMT - 6 hours             
-------------------------------------------------------------
             SURF    SURF DIR   SEAS  PERIOD   WIND    WND/DIR
             (ft)       (deg)   (ft)   (sec)   (kts)     (deg)
            -------  --------  -----  ------  -------  -------
3/7    6am   2 -  5  NNE  29    7.3     6.8   21 - 29   NE  49
3/7   12pm   5 - 11  SSW 199    6.4    15.5   16 - 22  ENE  56
3/7    6pm   5 - 11  SSW 196    6.2    15.2   21 - 29  ENE  58

3/8    7am   3 -  6   NE  33    7.7     7.2   21 - 28  ENE  60
3/8    1pm   5 - 11  SSW 196    6.7    14.3   18 - 24  ENE  53
3/8    7pm   5 - 10  SSW 197    6.5    13.7   20 - 27  ENE  56

3/9    1am   5 - 10  SSW 196    6.4    13.5   17 - 24  ENE  65
3/9    7am   4 -  8  SSW 196    5.4    13.3   15 - 21  ENE  61
3/9    1pm   3 -  7  SSW 196    4.6    13.0    4 -  6   SE 142
3/9    7pm   2 -  5  SSW 195    3.8    12.8    6 -  9   SW 227

3/10   1am   3 -  6  SSW 195    4.1    12.7   15 - 20  ENE  68
3/10   7am   3 -  6  SSW 197    4.4    12.7   13 - 17  ENE  57
3/10   1pm   3 -  6  SSW 199    4.0    12.7    3 -  4  WNW 283
3/10   7pm   3 -  6  SSW 205    3.7    15.4    3 -  4   SE 142

3/11   1am   3 -  7  SSW 203    4.3    15.1   15 - 21  ENE  61
3/11   7am   4 -  8  SSW 207    5.1    14.6   15 - 21  ENE  58
3/11   1pm   4 -  8  SSW 205    4.6    14.7    7 -  9  SSW 207
3/11   7pm   4 -  8  SSW 199    4.2    16.2   10 - 14   SW 221

3/12   1am   3 -  7  SSW 198    4.1    15.0   13 - 18  ENE  54
3/12   7am   4 -  8  SSW 199    4.7    15.0   14 - 18  ENE  50
3/12   1pm   3 -  7  SSW 198    4.4    14.6    4 -  6   SW 212
3/12   7pm   3 -  7  SSW 198    4.2    14.3    8 - 12  SSW 196

3/13   1am   3 -  6  SSW 198    4.0    14.4   12 - 17  ENE  54
3/13   7am   3 -  7  SSW 197    4.4    14.3   13 - 18   NE  49
3/13   1pm   3 -  7  SSW 198    4.2    14.0    3 -  4   NE  31
3/13   7pm   3 -  6  SSW 198    4.0    13.7    5 -  8    S 170


Effective Friday afternoon

SHORT TERM FORECAST (through Tuesday, March 10th):
Highlights: Modest SSW swell; minimal NW swell.

South Pacific Swell: The current SSW (220-205) swell is winding down through the weekend as a new SSW swell (220-200) gradually moves in. Most well exposed spots hang in the waist-chest-shoulder high range while standouts hit head high and even a little better on sets Sun/Mon.

Southern hemi swell is fading slowly early next week with waist-chest high surf mostly and some lingering larger sets at top spots.

Wind/Weather: For northern Costa Rica look moderate to locally stronger offshore flow (strongest offshore flow for the northern half of the Nicoya Peninsula towards the Nicaragua border, lighter for the southern end) for the mornings. Northern regions remain offshore through the day as other areas see winds turning onshore. 

EXTENDED FORECAST (Wednesday, March 11th, and beyond):
Highlights: Good size S-SSW swells on the radar.

South Pacific Swell: Right now, there's a good amount of storm activity taking place in the central/eastern portion of the SPAC and those lows are due to deliver a good run of southern hemi swells into the back half of the month.

The first S-SSW swell (210-190) gradually builds up the coast on Wednesday the 11th the peaks the 12th and holds pretty steady through Friday the 13th. Most breaks offer head high/well overhead surf pretty easily while standouts go double overhead+ on sets. This swell winds down through next weekend but there should be fun size leftovers then.

Beyond that, we could see another similar sized S-SSW swell (205-185) follow that up and show for the region over the 16th-19th time frame. This is still several days from developing, so check back next week for more details.


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