Tuesday, January 24, 2017

PRNW Forecast & Report of 2017-0124a

Lots of fun out there (PdP) today. Many different kinds of waves over a 2-hour in-water session. Most waves were 3 to 4 ft, a few set waves and some nice inside over the shallow reef tubelets. More current over the last hour. Funny thing happened when this fun boarder and I were chatting and all of a sudden found ourselves 100 yrs up and out when the prevailing currents would be down and away! Guess the SW wind was a factor.

  Model Cycle: 2017 JAN 24 06Z          
  Time Zone: GMT - 4 hours              
-------------------------------------------------------------
             SURF    SURF DIR   SEAS  PERIOD   WIND    WND/DIR
             (ft)       (deg)   (ft)   (sec)   (kts)     (deg)
            -------  --------  -----  ------  -------  -------
1/24   8am   3 -  7  NNE  24    5.0    12.6   14 - 19  SSW 203
1/24   2pm   3 -  7  NNE  23    4.8    12.7   15 - 20  SSW 209
1/24   8pm   3 -  6  NNE  23    4.2    12.6   12 - 16   SW 218
 
1/25   8am   2 -  4  NNE  11    3.1    11.9    8 - 11    N   1
1/25   2pm   2 -  5  NNW 345    4.3    11.2   12 - 16    N   8
1/25   8pm   3 -  6  NNW 332    5.2    10.6   13 - 17   NE  39

Monday, January 23, 2017

PRNW Forecast & Report of 2017-0123a

Caught some waves today... wish it could have gone on longer but the incoming tide was creating a bit of a current and knocking the wave size down by almost half, from 3rd reef to 2nd reef, where the current was even worse. Fun first one on a paddleout-quick-turnaround and angled takeoff, blazing fast.

Tomorrow looks to continue at about the same size and tempo, but also with continuing SW winds which isn't good as it affects southside Rincon.



  Model Cycle: 2017 JAN 23 06Z          
  Time Zone: GMT - 4 hours              
-------------------------------------------------------------
             SURF    SURF DIR   SEAS  PERIOD   WIND    WND/DIR
             (ft)       (deg)   (ft)   (sec)   (kts)     (deg)
            -------  --------  -----  ------  -------  -------
1/23   8am   3 -  6  NNE  26    4.2    12.5    6 -  9   SE 146
1/23   2pm   3 -  6  NNE  24    4.6    12.2   11 - 16  SSW 197
1/23   8pm   3 -  7  NNE  24    5.0    12.5   15 - 20    S 170
 
1/24   8am   3 -  7  NNE  24    4.8    12.5   13 - 18  SSW 206
1/24   2pm   3 -  7  NNE  23    4.6    12.7   15 - 20   SW 210
1/24   8pm   3 -  6  NNE  23    4.0    12.6   11 - 15   SW 215
 
1/25   8am   2 -  5    N 351    3.9    11.6    7 -  9    N 354
1/25   2pm   3 -  6  NNW 336    5.1    11.2   11 - 16    N   5
1/25   8pm   4 -  8  NNW 337    5.9    11.8   12 - 16   NE  34
 

Sunday, January 22, 2017

PRNW Forecast & Report of 2017-0122a

Woke up with a splitting headache and tingling left arm. Also know I need to hydrate more today. So... did not surf. Checking cams... looks about the same size as yesterday. Still looking up for surf everyday through departure on Thur. Yesterday's reunion activities were great. Also had a chance to hang out with Paul Strauch who hooked me up with a couple of people working on PR surf history projects.


  Model Cycle: 2017 JAN 22 06Z          
  Time Zone: GMT - 4 hours              
-------------------------------------------------------------
             SURF    SURF DIR   SEAS  PERIOD   WIND    WND/DIR
             (ft)       (deg)   (ft)   (sec)   (kts)     (deg)
            -------  --------  -----  ------  -------  -------
1/22   8am   2 -  4    N   5    4.0    10.2    7 - 10  ENE  59
1/22   2pm   2 -  4    N   6    3.9     9.6    6 -  8  NNE  20
1/22   8pm   2 -  4  NNE  11    3.9     9.4    8 - 12  ENE  67
 
1/23   8am   3 -  6  NNE  26    4.2    12.5    5 -  7   SE 139
1/23   2pm   3 -  6  NNE  24    4.6    12.2   10 - 14  SSW 199
1/23   8pm   3 -  7  NNE  24    5.0    12.5   14 - 19    S 177
 
1/24   8am   3 -  7  NNE  24    4.7    12.5   12 - 17   SW 211
1/24   2pm   3 -  6  NNE  23    4.5    12.7   13 - 18   SW 216
1/24   8pm   2 -  5  NNE  23    3.8    12.6   10 - 13   SW 215
 
1/25   8am   2 -  5    N 352    3.9    11.7    8 - 11  NNE  23
1/25   2pm   3 -  6  NNW 338    4.9    11.0   11 - 15  NNE  14
1/25   8pm   3 -  6  NNW 337    5.3    10.7   13 - 17   NE  39


Saturday, January 21, 2017

PRNW Forecast & Report of 2017-0121a

Felt good to paddle out again! Coming around a bend approaching the break I was surprised to see white water rolling in a couple of places... bigger than expected? Yup. PdP looked nice, fairly clean and breaking on the 3rd reef. Saw about 4 people out the Slopes. Later on after my morning was done, I observed nothing much happening at Lil Teapou (nobody out) and a bodyboarder and a foot surfer out at TdlR which was small and not big enough to break cleanly from second peak through the third peak bowl.

Looks like surf for rest of the trip.

Now it is time to prepare for my IAU Escuelita Mini-Reunion.

  Model Cycle: 2017 JAN 21 06Z          
  Time Zone: GMT - 4 hours              
-------------------------------------------------------------
             SURF    SURF DIR   SEAS  PERIOD   WIND    WND/DIR
             (ft)       (deg)   (ft)   (sec)   (kts)     (deg)
            -------  --------  -----  ------  -------  -------
1/21   8am   2 -  5    N 352    4.4    10.1    5 -  7   NE  45 SAT
1/21   2pm   2 -  4  NNW 348    4.0     9.2    7 - 10    N   3
1/21   8pm   2 -  4  NNW 348    4.0     8.7   10 - 13   NE  43
 
1/22   8am   2 -  4    N   5    4.1    10.2    8 - 11  ENE  52 SUN
1/22   2pm   2 -  4    N   6    3.9     9.6    6 -  9   NE  30
1/22   8pm   2 -  4  NNE  11    3.8     9.4    5 -  8  ENE  66
 
1/23   8am   3 -  6  NNE  26    4.2    12.5    4 -  5   SE 138 MON
1/23   2pm   3 -  6  NNE  24    4.5    12.2    6 -  8  SSW 207
1/23   8pm   3 -  7  NNE  24    4.8    12.5   12 - 17    S 174
 
1/24   8am   3 -  6  NNE  24    4.4    12.5   11 - 15  SSW 201 TUE
1/24   2pm   3 -  6  NNE  23    4.2    12.8   11 - 16   SW 224
1/24   8pm   2 -  5  NNE  23    3.6    12.6    7 - 10  SSW 205
 
1/25   8am   3 -  6  NNW 337    4.6    11.3    9 - 13  NNE  27 WED
1/25   2pm   3 -  7  NNW 345    5.2    11.5   11 - 16  NNE  18
1/25   8pm   3 -  6  NNW 331    5.4    10.6   13 - 18   NE  42
 
1/26   8am   3 -  6  NNW 333    5.0    10.3   14 - 19  ENE  62 THU
1/26   2pm   2 -  5  NNW 331    4.7     9.8   14 - 20   NE  46

Friday, January 20, 2017

PRNW Forecast & Report of 2017-0120a

Still tiny, but the wind situation has improved over the past week. Looks like several days of fun ridable surf (3-6 ft) coming up.

  Model Cycle: 2017 JAN 20 06Z          
  Time Zone: GMT - 4 hours              
-------------------------------------------------------------
             SURF    SURF DIR   SEAS  PERIOD   WIND    WND/DIR
             (ft)       (deg)   (ft)   (sec)   (kts)     (deg)
            -------  --------  -----  ------  -------  -------
1/20   8am   1 -  2   NE  30    2.9     8.0    5 -  6  ENE  66
1/20   2pm   1 -  2   NE  30    2.7     7.9    6 -  8  NNE  18
1/20   8pm   2 -  4    N 358    2.8    12.4    9 - 13  NNE  15
 
1/21   8am   2 -  5    N 352    4.4    10.1    5 -  7   NE  32
1/21   2pm   2 -  4  NNW 348    4.0     9.2    8 - 11    N 354
1/21   8pm   2 -  4  NNW 348    4.0     8.7   11 - 15   NE  42
 
1/22   8am   2 -  4    N   5    4.1    10.2    8 - 10  ENE  51
1/22   2pm   2 -  4    N   5    4.0     9.6    7 - 10   NE  34
1/22   8pm   2 -  4  NNE  11    3.9     9.4    8 - 11  ENE  68
 
1/23   8am   3 -  6  NNE  26    4.3    12.6    6 -  9   SE 140
1/23   2pm   3 -  6  NNE  24    4.6    12.1    9 - 12  SSW 202
1/23   8pm   3 -  7  NNE  25    5.0    12.3   14 - 19  SSE 168
 
1/24   8am   3 -  7  NNE  23    4.8    13.4   13 - 18  SSW 203
1/24   2pm   3 -  7  NNE  23    4.7    13.2   14 - 19   SW 225
1/24   8pm   2 -  5  NNE  22    3.9    12.8   10 - 13   SW 227
 
1/25   8am   2 -  5    N   8    3.9    11.9   10 - 14  NNE  13
1/25   2pm   3 -  6    N   7    4.4    11.6   12 - 16  NNE  12
1/25   8pm   2 -  5    N 352    4.5    10.9   12 - 17   NE  39
 
 

Thursday, January 19, 2017

PRNW Forecast & Report of 2017-0119a

Surfriding today. Hell no! Maybe tomorrow, DP practice for Saturday :) Realistic conditions seem to be arriving which should mostly persist through the end of the trip (Wed last full day).

  Model Cycle: 2017 JAN 19 06Z          
  Time Zone: GMT - 4 hours              
-------------------------------------------------------------
             SURF    SURF DIR   SEAS  PERIOD   WIND    WND/DIR
             (ft)       (deg)   (ft)   (sec)   (kts)     (deg)
            -------  --------  -----  ------  -------  -------
1/19   8am   1 -  3   NE  35    3.8     7.9    6 -  8  ENE  73 THU
1/19   2pm   1 -  3   NE  34    3.6     7.8    5 -  7    N   4
1/19   8pm   1 -  3   NE  34    3.4     7.8    7 -  9   NE  33
 
1/20   8am   1 -  2   NE  30    2.9     8.0    6 -  9  ENE  51 FRI
1/20   2pm   1 -  2   NE  30    2.7     8.0    6 -  8    N   3
1/20   8pm   2 -  4    N 358    2.8    12.4    7 - 10    N   7
 
1/21   8am   2 -  5    N 351    4.3    10.1    7 -  9  NNE  12 SAT
1/21   2pm   2 -  4  NNW 348    4.0     9.2    7 - 10    N 352
1/21   8pm   2 -  4  NNW 348    4.1     8.6   11 - 15  NNE  26
 
1/22   8am   2 -  4    N   4    4.1    10.2    8 - 11  ENE  55 SUN
1/22   2pm   2 -  4    N   6    3.9     9.7    4 -  6   NE  31
1/22   8pm   2 -  4  NNE  12    4.0     9.6    5 -  7   NE  44
 
1/23   8am   3 -  7  NNE  24    4.9    12.8    9 - 12   SE 145 MON
1/23   2pm   3 -  7  NNE  24    5.2    12.4   12 - 16  SSW 191
1/23   8pm   3 -  7  NNE  24    5.4    12.1   14 - 19  SSE 163
 
1/24   8am   3 -  7  NNE  23    5.0    13.3   12 - 17    S 184 TUE
1/24   2pm   3 -  7  NNE  23    4.6    13.1   14 - 19   SW 212
1/24   8pm   3 -  6  NNE  23    3.9    12.8    9 - 13   SW 210
 
1/25   8am   2 -  4    N 358    3.2    11.9    5 -  7    N 359 WED
1/25   2pm   2 -  5  NNW 341    3.8    11.2   11 - 15  NNE  19
1/25   8pm   2 -  5  NNW 339    4.6    10.8   12 - 17   NE  40
 
1/26   2am   3 -  6  NNW 337    4.8    11.0   12 - 17  ENE  59 THU
 

Thursday morning. 
 
NW PUERTO RICO AM REPORT:Small, clean trade windswell wrap/underlying N swell mix today. Most size N side. Minor surf W side. Calm/light winds and conditions are clean.

NW PUERTO RICO SHORT TERM FORECAST:
Small N swell/trade windswell wrap in the water today, most size N coast. W side remains minor. Onshore seabreeze develops late AM/early PM.


 

Wednesday, January 18, 2017

PRNW Forecast & Report of 2017-0118a

More of the same... flatness/tinyness, bump, current. Domes is
really a logger day. Indicators might have had some micro ridable
tubelets but is is worth tearing up my fins? Yesterday I slept in.

What a wetless trip! At least there is the daily shower ;)

Outlook: Winds begin to decrease, Saturday looks promising.

 
 Model Cycle: 2017 JAN 18 06Z          
  Time Zone: GMT - 4 hours              
-------------------------------------------------------------
             SURF    SURF DIR   SEAS  PERIOD   WIND    WND/DIR
             (ft)       (deg)   (ft)   (sec)   (kts)     (deg)
            -------  --------  -----  ------  -------  -------
1/18   8am   2 -  5   NE  43    5.5     8.1   14 - 19  ENE  65 WED
1/18   2pm   2 -  4   NE  44    4.8     8.0   13 - 18   NE  37
1/18   8pm   1 -  3   NE  44    4.2     7.9   12 - 16  ENE  59
 
1/19   8am   1 -  3   NE  35    3.9     7.9    8 - 11    E  81 THU
1/19   2pm   1 -  3   NE  35    3.7     7.8    3 -  5    N   0
1/19   8pm   1 -  3   NE  34    3.4     7.8    7 -  9   NE  40
 
1/20   8am   1 -  2   NE  31    2.9     8.0    5 -  7  ENE  62 FRI
1/20   2pm   1 -  2   NE  30    2.7     8.0    4 -  6  NNW 339
1/20   8pm   1 -  3    N   0    2.8    11.9    7 -  9  NNE  23
 
1/21   8am   2 -  4    N 350    4.2     9.9    4 -  5  NNE  25 SAT
1/21   2pm   2 -  4  NNW 347    4.0     9.2    6 -  8  WNW 305
1/21   8pm   2 -  4    N 351    4.0     8.9    4 -  5  ENE  55
 
1/22   8am   2 -  4    N   2    3.9    10.1    5 -  7    E  84 SUN
1/22   2pm   2 -  4    N   3    4.0     9.6    2 -  3  WSW 245
1/22   8pm   3 -  6  NNE  28    4.3    13.5    4 -  6  NNE  22
 
1/23   8am   4 -  8  NNE  24    5.6    13.4    8 - 11   SE 148 MON
1/23   2pm   4 -  9  NNE  23    5.9    13.3    9 - 13  SSW 194
1/23   8pm   4 -  9  NNE  23    5.8    13.3   11 - 15  SSE 156
 
1/24   8am   3 -  7  NNE  22    4.8    13.1    9 - 13  SSE 160 TUE
1/24   2pm   3 -  7  NNE  22    4.6    13.0   15 - 20  SSW 200
1/24   8pm   3 -  6  NNE  22    4.1    12.7   11 - 15  SSW 193
 
1/25   2am   2 -  5  NNE  22    3.4    12.4    7 -  9  SSW 199 WED
 
Effective Tuesday evening
                      
SHORT TERM FORECAST (THROUGH THURSDAY 1/19):
Highlights: Easing N swell, transitioning to mainly trade windswell.

Ridge of high pressure over the western Atlantic today will shift east through mid week. We are watching complex low pressure well NE of the region over the open ATL waters. This is a fast tracking system and will only result in minor amounts of northerly swell that will mix in with trade swell.

We will transition to more of an ENE trade swell through the first half of the week. This will put biggest surf in the water for the N coast. Rincon will see declining surf heights as the swell direction shifts more NE/ENE over the start of the week.

We are mainly looking at ENE trade swell/underlying minor amounts of N swell through Thursday. We will be seeing surf heights trend down and level off as we head through mid week. The N coast region will be the main area that sees surf with Rincon trending down to minor ankle/knee high surf.

Winds: Continued moderate trade winds are expected through Wednesday from the ENE around 11-15kts. There may be a small window of lighter trades first thing but ENE trade winds will be settling in fairly quick through the AM hours. Calm/light offshore AM winds Thursday will shift ENE late AM/early PM with the onset of the trades for the N coast. Rincon will see onshore seabreeze develop late AM/early PM Thursday.

EXTENDED SURF FORECAST (FRIDAY 1/20 AND BEYOND): 
Highlights: Small surf for the back half of the week. Swell moves in over the weekend.

The pattern through mid week over the Atlantic will set up mainly small amounts of ENE trade windswell/underlying NNE swell mix through Friday. Mostly looking at waist high surf then N coast with minor ankle/knee high surf for the Rincon area. Standout N coast spots likely see some chest high sets.

Beyond that we will be watching the development of a low pressure system late this week. Trusted models are in good agreement that broad low pressure will develop north of the island. This is expected to send some northerly swell starting this weekend. Lower to mid period N swell is expected to fill in Saturday and then continue Sunday. A secondary pulse of stronger NNE swell is possible to kick off early next week pending the development the low. Right now though looking at fun zone surf for the weekend with potential for a notch stronger swell to kick off the following work week.
 



Monday, January 16, 2017

PRNW Forecast & Report of 2017-0115a

Did not surf. Near flat. Turned off of 115 down towards Maria's from Punta Higuera, watching cars drive through Maria's parking area, and turned right following behind 4 cars towards Domes. Filling up at 6:30a with cars pouring in as I drove back to the villa. Marginal surf at Domes... will be log city today. Just checked the cam, looks a little bigger now, but very crowded and boards flying.

  Model Cycle: 2017 JAN 16 06Z          
  Time Zone: GMT - 4 hours              
-------------------------------------------------------------
             SURF    SURF DIR   SEAS  PERIOD   WIND    WND/DIR
             (ft)       (deg)   (ft)   (sec)   (kts)     (deg)
            -------  --------  -----  ------  -------  -------
1/16   8am   4 -  8   NE  44    7.0     9.7   17 - 23  ENE  65 MON
1/16   2pm   3 -  7   NE  45    7.0     9.5   18 - 25  ENE  58
1/16   8pm   3 -  7   NE  45    6.5     9.4   17 - 23  ENE  70
 
1/17   8am   3 -  6   NE  47    6.0     8.8   16 - 22  ENE  77 TUE
1/17   2pm   3 -  6   NE  48    5.9     8.7   17 - 23  ENE  53
1/17   8pm   3 -  6   NE  44    6.1     8.6   17 - 23  ENE  64
 
1/18   8am   2 -  5   NE  43    5.6     8.2   16 - 22  ENE  66 WED
1/18   2pm   2 -  4   NE  47    5.1     7.9   14 - 19  ENE  50
1/18   8pm   2 -  4   NE  47    4.4     7.8   13 - 18  ENE  57
 
1/19   8am   1 -  3   NE  37    3.8     7.9   11 - 15  ENE  63 THU
1/19   2pm   1 -  3   NE  35    3.8     7.9   10 - 13   NE  37
1/19   8pm   1 -  3   NE  34    3.7     7.9   11 - 15  ENE  62
 
1/20   8am   1 -  2   NE  31    3.1     8.0    6 -  9  ENE  75 FRI
1/20   2pm   1 -  2   NE  30    2.9     8.0    8 - 11  NNE  14
1/20   8pm   2 -  4    N 356    3.0    11.8    9 - 13  NNE  26
 
1/21   8am   1 -  3    N 351    3.5     9.6    6 -  9  NNE  28 SAT
1/21   2pm   1 -  3    N 352    3.5     8.8    6 -  9    N 357
1/21   8pm   1 -  3    N 354    3.5     8.4    8 - 11  NNE  27
 
1/22   8am   2 -  4    N   4    3.7    10.5    5 -  7  ESE 100 SUN
1/22   2pm   2 -  4    N   4    3.9     9.8    1 -  2    N   8
1/22   8pm   2 -  4    N   8    3.9     9.5    4 -  6  NNE  29
 
1/23   2am   2 -  5  NNE  28    4.0    12.4    5 -  7  SSE 154 MON 
 
 

Saturday, January 14, 2017

PRNW Forecast & Report of 2017-0114a

I should have gone for a DP this morning but had a bad sleep. Went to bed too early! Old man sleeping issues! No more excuses!! Need to catch the last of the wrapping NE swell the next two days.

  Model Cycle: 2017 JAN 14 06Z          
  Time Zone: GMT - 4 hours              
-------------------------------------------------------------
             SURF    SURF DIR   SEAS  PERIOD   WIND    WND/DIR
             (ft)       (deg)   (ft)   (sec)   (kts)     (deg)
            -------  --------  -----  ------  -------  -------
1/14   8am   7 - 15   NE  35   10.9    11.6   19 - 25  ENE  52
1/14   2pm   7 - 14   NE  37   10.8    11.3   19 - 26  ENE  53
1/14   8pm   6 - 13   NE  38   10.0    11.0   18 - 24  ENE  58
 
1/15   8am   5 - 10   NE  41    8.4    10.6   17 - 23  ENE  67
1/15   2pm   5 - 10   NE  42    8.2    10.3   20 - 27  ENE  57
1/15   8pm   4 -  9   NE  43    7.8    10.1   16 - 22  ENE  69
 
1/16   8am   4 -  8   NE  45    7.2     9.7   17 - 24  ENE  69
1/16   2pm   4 -  8   NE  46    7.2     9.5   19 - 25  ENE  59
1/16   8pm   3 -  7   NE  46    6.7     9.4   17 - 24  ENE  71
 
1/17   8am   3 -  6   NE  48    6.4     8.8   18 - 24  ENE  70
1/17   2pm   3 -  6  ENE  50    6.4     8.6   18 - 24  ENE  56
1/17   8pm   3 -  6   NE  47    6.1     8.7   17 - 23  ENE  67
 
1/18   8am   2 -  5   NE  45    5.8     8.2   15 - 21  ENE  72
1/18   2pm   2 -  5   NE  47    5.5     7.9   16 - 21  ENE  51
1/18   8pm   2 -  4   NE  49    5.2     7.8   16 - 21  ENE  58
 
1/19   8am   2 -  4   NE  40    4.4     7.8   12 - 17  ENE  73
1/19   2pm   1 -  3   NE  37    4.1     7.8   11 - 15   NE  43
1/19   8pm   1 -  3   NE  35    4.2     7.9   14 - 19  ENE  60
 
1/20   8am   1 -  3   NE  33    3.8     8.2   10 - 13  ENE  75
1/20   2pm   1 -  3   NE  35    3.4     8.0    7 - 10   NE  30
1/20   8pm   1 -  3   NE  36    3.4     7.8   12 - 17  ENE  56