May venture north tomorrow as big surf with lots of wind will be jump in overnight Sunday into Monday and stick around a good part of the week. More options when it takes on a more NE character.
Post Surf Grinds (slurps): Cafecito from my favorite bakery, nice to wish seasons greetings to the staff.
Model Cycle: 2017 JAN 08 06Z Time Zone: GMT - 4 hours ------------------------------------------------------------ - SURF SURF DIR SEAS PERIOD WIND WND/DIR (ft) (deg) (ft) (sec) (kts) (deg) ------- -------- ----- ------ ------- ------- 1/8 8am 3 - 7 NE 40 4.3 13.7 8 - 11 E 90 SUN 1/8 2pm 3 - 6 NE 40 4.0 13.4 5 - 7 NNE 25 1/9 2am 2 - 5 NE 40 3.5 12.6 9 - 12 ENE 65 MON 1/9 8am 2 - 5 NE 40 3.4 12.4 11 - 15 NE 48 1/9 2pm 2 - 5 NE 39 3.6 11.8 14 - 19 NNE 28 1/9 8pm 2 - 5 NE 33 4.1 11.7 15 - 21 NE 37 1/10 2am 4 - 8 NNW 335 6.8 11.0 13 - 17 ENE 51 TUE 1/10 8am 5 - 10 NNW 339 8.2 10.7 15 - 20 NE 48 1/10 2pm 5 - 11 NNW 343 8.9 10.5 16 - 22 NE 41 1/10 8pm 6 - 13 N 351 11.1 10.2 21 - 29 ENE 50 1/11 2am 6 - 13 N 0 11.3 10.2 20 - 27 NE 46 WED 1/11 8am 6 - 12 N 3 10.5 10.2 18 - 24 NE 45 1/11 2pm 5 - 11 NNE 10 9.6 9.9 17 - 23 NE 39 1/11 8pm 5 - 10 NNE 12 9.1 9.8 18 - 25 NE 49 1/12 2am 5 - 10 NNE 14 9.0 9.8 19 - 25 ENE 55 THU 1/12 8am 5 - 10 NNE 17 9.3 9.6 19 - 26 NE 44 1/12 2pm 6 - 12 NNE 23 10.4 9.7 17 - 23 NE 41 1/12 8pm 7 - 15 NE 30 10.7 12.4 16 - 22 NE 38 1/13 2am 7 - 14 NE 31 10.1 12.3 17 - 23 NE 35 FRI 1/13 8am 8 - 16 NE 31 11.1 12.6 18 - 25 NE 42 1/13 2pm 8 - 16 NNE 29 11.6 12.2 18 - 25 NE 44 1/13 8pm 8 - 16 NNE 29 11.6 11.7 20 - 27 NE 46 1/14 2am 8 - 16 NNE 29 11.8 11.3 18 - 25 NE 49 SAT 1/14 8am 7 - 15 NE 31 11.7 11.2 19 - 26 ENE 51 1/14 2pm 7 - 15 NE 33 11.8 11.1 19 - 27 ENE 54 1/14 8pm 7 - 15 NE 34 11.4 11.0 19 - 26 ENE 52 1/15 2am 7 - 14 NE 35 11.0 11.0 18 - 25 NE 48 SUN
Effective Sunday morning
SHORT TERM FORECAST (THROUGH MONDAY 1/9):
We are expecting longer period NE swell from low pressure near the Azores to filter in over the weekend and offer fun surf for the better breaks along the N coast. NE swell and ENE trade windswell mix continues today with waves in the chest/shoulder high zone and sets up to around head high as the swell peaks early and eases slightly through the day. More easing surf is due for Monday with waist-chest high surf at most breaks along the N coast. Keep in mind that due to the swell direction, breaks around Rincon will be a few notches smaller than the N coast but will see slightly cleaner conditions with lighter winds.
Winds: Expect moderate ENE winds to persist through the day today. Moderate ENE winds on Monday morning trend NE and build to moderate-strong winds around 15-20kts by the afternoon. Breaks in the Rincon area will see light ENE winds trend NE in the afternoon today and become moderate for Monday.
EXTENDED SURF FORECAST (TUESDAY 1/10 AND BEYOND):
Highlights: Solid surf fills in on Tuesday but local winds and conditions look problematic for most breaks. No shortage of surf in the longer range outlook for late next week into next weekend.
Low pressure rapidly skirts up the East Coast US this weekend while high pressure builds over the eastern US. This pattern sets up a large area of NW/N winds directed towards the Caribbean which will send a healthy dose of NW/NNW swell that fills in on Tuesday with double overhead sets likely towards the middle and second half of the day. A mix of NNW swell and N/NE windswell offers surf in the well overhead to double overhead+ range for the rest of the week.
The major issue will be our local winds as strong NNE/NE winds will continue through the end of the week and limit the number of breaks that see manageable conditions. Most breaks along the N coast will be blown out with out of control conditions. The more tucked away spots on the NW side of the island will be smaller but worth a look for manageable conditions both Tuesday and Wednesday.
A frontal boundary associated with the low pressure system that exits over the weekend looks to linger over the central Atlantic into early/mid next week while high pressure builds towards the US East Coast. Some of the model guidance suggests a wave of low pressure could develop along that front to the north of the island which would impact our surf and wind outlook for the second half of next week. At this point confidence is increasing that large N/NNE windswell/swell mix will continue for the island next Thursday/Friday and likely into next weekend. The wind forecast for that time period is more uncertain due to the potential low pressure system — stay tuned as we fine tune the outlook over the coming days.
We are expecting longer period NE swell from low pressure near the Azores to filter in over the weekend and offer fun surf for the better breaks along the N coast. NE swell and ENE trade windswell mix continues today with waves in the chest/shoulder high zone and sets up to around head high as the swell peaks early and eases slightly through the day. More easing surf is due for Monday with waist-chest high surf at most breaks along the N coast. Keep in mind that due to the swell direction, breaks around Rincon will be a few notches smaller than the N coast but will see slightly cleaner conditions with lighter winds.
Winds: Expect moderate ENE winds to persist through the day today. Moderate ENE winds on Monday morning trend NE and build to moderate-strong winds around 15-20kts by the afternoon. Breaks in the Rincon area will see light ENE winds trend NE in the afternoon today and become moderate for Monday.
EXTENDED SURF FORECAST (TUESDAY 1/10 AND BEYOND):
Highlights: Solid surf fills in on Tuesday but local winds and conditions look problematic for most breaks. No shortage of surf in the longer range outlook for late next week into next weekend.
Low pressure rapidly skirts up the East Coast US this weekend while high pressure builds over the eastern US. This pattern sets up a large area of NW/N winds directed towards the Caribbean which will send a healthy dose of NW/NNW swell that fills in on Tuesday with double overhead sets likely towards the middle and second half of the day. A mix of NNW swell and N/NE windswell offers surf in the well overhead to double overhead+ range for the rest of the week.
The major issue will be our local winds as strong NNE/NE winds will continue through the end of the week and limit the number of breaks that see manageable conditions. Most breaks along the N coast will be blown out with out of control conditions. The more tucked away spots on the NW side of the island will be smaller but worth a look for manageable conditions both Tuesday and Wednesday.
A frontal boundary associated with the low pressure system that exits over the weekend looks to linger over the central Atlantic into early/mid next week while high pressure builds towards the US East Coast. Some of the model guidance suggests a wave of low pressure could develop along that front to the north of the island which would impact our surf and wind outlook for the second half of next week. At this point confidence is increasing that large N/NNE windswell/swell mix will continue for the island next Thursday/Friday and likely into next weekend. The wind forecast for that time period is more uncertain due to the potential low pressure system — stay tuned as we fine tune the outlook over the coming days.
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