PRNW Forecast & Report of 2017-0113a

Did not surf today. Winds are still a factor and the waves are very jumbled up. I did not check out my usual spots... took the day off to see Rogue One (Star Wars), since we were awake and didn't see a good date to go during the next week as there is now only one showing daily, at 9pm. Rather take the chance of surf conditions being more to my liking the next couple of days.

  Model Cycle: 2017 JAN 13 06Z          
  Time Zone: GMT - 4 hours              
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             SURF    SURF DIR   SEAS  PERIOD   WIND    WND/DIR
             (ft)       (deg)   (ft)   (sec)   (kts)     (deg)
            -------  --------  -----  ------  -------  -------
1/13   8am   8 - 16   NE  34   10.8    12.5   18 - 25   NE  42 FRI
1/13   2pm   8 - 16   NE  34   11.4    12.3   18 - 24   NE  44
1/13   8pm   8 - 16   NE  34   11.3    12.1   18 - 24   NE  45
 
1/14   8am   7 - 15   NE  35   11.1    11.6   19 - 25  ENE  52 SAT
1/14   2pm   7 - 14   NE  37   10.7    11.3   19 - 25  ENE  55
1/14   8pm   6 - 13   NE  38    9.9    11.0   17 - 23  ENE  58
 
1/15   8am   5 - 11   NE  41    8.7    10.6   15 - 21  ENE  71 SUN
1/15   2pm   5 - 10   NE  43    8.3    10.4   17 - 23  ENE  60
1/15   8pm   4 -  9   NE  44    8.0    10.2   18 - 24  ENE  70
 
1/16   8am   4 -  8   NE  46    7.1     9.8   17 - 23  ENE  71 MON
1/16   2pm   4 -  8   NE  46    7.1     9.5   18 - 25  ENE  60
1/16   8pm   3 -  7   NE  48    6.9     9.3   18 - 24  ENE  72
 
1/17   8am   3 -  6   NE  49    6.5     8.8   18 - 24  ENE  71 TUE
1/17   2pm   3 -  6   NE  49    6.6     8.7   18 - 25  ENE  57
1/17   8pm   3 -  6   NE  47    6.3     8.6   17 - 23  ENE  70
 
1/18   8am   3 -  6   NE  46    6.3     8.1   17 - 23  ENE  69 WED
1/18   2pm   2 -  5   NE  48    6.2     8.0   18 - 24  ENE  58
1/18   8pm   2 -  5  ENE  50    5.8     7.9   16 - 22  ENE  67
 
1/19   8am   2 -  4   NE  44    4.8     8.1   12 - 17    E  81 THU
1/19   2pm   2 -  4   NE  36    4.9     7.8   13 - 18  ENE  53
1/19   8pm   2 -  4   NE  37    4.9     7.6   15 - 21  ENE  69

Effective Friday morning

SHORT TERM FORECAST (THROUGH SUNDAY 1/15):
Highlights: Solid surf but elevated trade winds through Sunday.

High pressure will linger over the western Atlantic through the end of the work week. A low pressure system has formed along the SE edge of this system, NNE of the Leeward Islands. This will enhance the fetch along the SE periphery of the ridge. This will keep a lengthy run of swell in the water for the island but will also result in elevated NE/ENE winds.

We we looking at plenty of well overhead surf for the N coast Friday through the weekend but with poor conditions for most. The strong trades will limit the number of breaks that see manageable conditions. Most breaks along the N coast will be blown out with out of control conditions. The more tucked away spots on the NW side of the island will be smaller but still good size with overhead surf Friday through the weekend and worth a look for manageable conditions. We will see the NE/NNE swell linger Sunday while shifting a bit more NE. Trade winds expected to persist then and remain problematic. 

Winds: Strong NE/ENE trade winds will impact the island through Sunday. The super protected spots will be the best bet conditions wise.

EXTENDED SURF FORECAST (MONDAY 1/16 AND BEYOND): 
Highlights: Solid surf through early next week N coast. Surf heights decline Rincon area.

The low pressure system on the eastern side of the ridge will sink south while dissipating over the weekend. Atlantic high pressure however will continue to remain in place setting up continued trade winds. We will transition to more of an ENE trade swell through early next week. This will put biggest surf in the water for the N coast. Rincon will see declining surf heights as the swell direction shifts more NE/ENE.